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The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Hays is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 31 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 31%, the price says 26%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 8 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Oct 1, 10:33AM UTC
MLB

Austin Hays

BAL

Value call

Austin Hays has one live pick today: Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 that pays $379 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +279 (3.79) · $100→$379
Value call
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 12:30AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 131 of 230 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
31 in 100
Predicted
1.2 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 31.1% · the book's price implies 26.4% · gap +4.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases31.1%—26.4%3.22+4.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games4/4
Last 10 games4/4

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AI Analysis

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Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres: Austin Hays Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+279)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Austin Hays has been on a bit of a roll lately, and the San Diego Padres have won 8 of their last 10 games. While he's only averaging a few strikeouts lately, he faces a Milwaukee pitcher who has been giving up runs a bit more than expected. Hays has a good chance to get over 1.5 total bases in this matchup, especially since the Padres' hitting has been strong. The biggest risk here is that the combined total we expect is still below what we want for this bet. However, with Hays' recent form and the Padres' offensive momentum, this bet feels promising.

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Pick History & Track Record

Austin Hays's lines for Sun 4 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5

Austin Hays's batter total bases line is 1.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5

Austin Hays's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter RBIs 0.5

Austin Hays's batter rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 3.5

Austin Hays's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 3.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 2.5

Austin Hays's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 2.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5

Austin Hays's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 1.5

Austin Hays's batter hits line is 1.5.

Batter Doubles 0.5

Austin Hays's batter doubles line is 0.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Austin Hays is averaging 1.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.8
Hits
0.2
HR
0.6
RBI
1.2
Runs
0.6
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Austin Hays has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.525%
o2.525%
o3.525%
o4.525%

Home / away and opponent splits

Austin Hays is averaging 1.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.8 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.8
Hits · Overall
1.8
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -385 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Hits 1.5 Over +290 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Over +151 ✓ HIT
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
01 Oct 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Austin Hays (BAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Hays is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday 4 October at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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