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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Hays is Under 1.5 on Batter - Singles.
On the Batter - Singles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +10.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 4:05PM UTC
MLB

Austin Hays

CIN

+10.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Singles Under 1.5 -370 (1.27) · $100→$127
+10.2% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Thu 11 Sep, 12:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 559 of 1,032 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
78.7%
Model Edge
+10.2%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Singles89.0%78.7%1.12+10.2%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Austin Hays (CIN) Under 1.5 Singles (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Austin Hays for Under 1.5 in the Batter Singles market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Hays' average for the last five overall and away games is 1.4 singles, which is under the line of 1.5. Moreover, his hit average against the Padres is significantly lower, at 0.7. This suggests that he struggles more against this team. His current hit streak is only 2, both overall and away, indicating inconsistency in his performance. Furthermore, his average of hits in the last five games, both overall and away, is only 1.8, again below the line. The data implies a higher probability of Hays hitting under 1.5 singles in the upcoming game, making this bet a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Austin Hays is averaging 1.8 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.6 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.8
Hits
0.2
HR
0.6
RBI
1.2
Runs
0.6
Walks
1.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Austin Hays has gone over 0.5 total bases in 80% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.580%
o1.560%
o3.550%

Home / away and opponent splits

Austin Hays is averaging 1.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.8 in away games, including his recent form against LAD.

1.8
Hits · Overall
1.8
Hits · Away
1.0
Hits · vs LAD
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Austin Hays (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Hays is Under 1.5 on Batter - Singles. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs San Diego Padres on Thursday 11 September at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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