SYSTEM STATUS: Online SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +406.0 units this season WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 3.5 @ +340) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5 @ +150) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +125) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +628.2 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.3% over 30 days WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +111) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7 @ +200) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 6.5 @ +270) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 4 @ +290) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.3% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +714.6 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +690.3 units this season WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +100) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +122) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +652.1 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Spread hitting 79.3% over 30 days TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.2% over 30 days WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants (Toronto Blue Jays 6 @ +290) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +406.0 units this season RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 3.5 @ +340) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5 @ +150) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +125) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +628.2 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.3% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +111) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7 @ +200) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 6.5 @ +270) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 4 @ +290) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.3% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.8% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +714.6 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +690.3 units this season RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +100) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres 7.5 @ +122) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +652.1 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Spread hitting 79.3% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Totals hitting 78.2% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants (Toronto Blue Jays 6 @ +290)
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MLB

Fernando Tatis Jr.

MLB

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 1.5 -2000 (1.05)
+4.1% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego
Thu 9 Jul, 2:10AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
99.4%
Implied Probability
95.2%
Model Edge
+4.1%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Fernando Tatis Jr. (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres face off against the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Fernando Tatis Jr. His electric style and power at the plate often set expectations sky-high, but let’s pump the brakes on the doubles train for this matchup. Tatis has been a bit inconsistent lately, producing fewer extra-base hits, especially against right-handed pitchers, which the Diamondbacks will roll out. The Diamondbacks’ pitcher, who boasts a solid ground ball rate, is adept at keeping the ball in the park and minimizing extra-base hits. With Tatis swinging for the fences more often than not, those line drives that could lead to doubles could easily turn into flyouts in this contest. Given the recent trends and Tatis’ struggles against similar pitching, taking the under on 1.5 doubles feels like a savvy play—especially with the numbers backing it up.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 100.0% (8/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks Pending
04 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Hits Pending

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About This Player

Fernando Tatis Jr. is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (8/8). The latest model pick for Fernando Tatis Jr. is Under 1.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Thursday 9 July at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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