Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Cronenworth is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +5.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:42PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-208 (1.48) · $100→$148
+5.3% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers
@
San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
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Implied Probability
67.6%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 72.8% | — | 67.6% | 1.37 | +5.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/4 |
| Last 10 games | 2/4 |
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Jake Cronenworth (SDP) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-208)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
San Diego Padres play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake Cronenworth (SDP) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-208). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
5 markets liveBatter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs MILU 1.5 -164 Game log vs U 1.55 / 8 hit
Jake Cronenworth MLB hits + runs + rbis vs MIL. Current line U 1.5 at -164.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -385 Game log vs U 0.56 / 8 hit
Jake Cronenworth MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -385.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -204 Game log vs U 0.57 / 9 hit
Jake Cronenworth MLB runs scored vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -204.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -159 Game log vs U 0.54 / 6 hit
Jake Cronenworth MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -159.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs MILU 0.5 -714 Game log vs U 0.56 / 7 hit
Jake Cronenworth MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs MIL. Current line U 0.5 at -714.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Jake Cronenworth MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.550%
O 2.550%
O 3.550%
O 4.525%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.5 · hi 2 · lo 0
Jake Cronenworth MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Jake Cronenworth MLB home runs: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Jake Cronenworth MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 10 Aug 26 |
 Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-714 |
✓ HIT |
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Jake Cronenworth (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Cronenworth is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.3% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres on Tuesday 11 August at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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