Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Cronenworth is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +3.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
MLB

Jake Cronenworth

SDP

+3.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 0.5 -526 (1.19)
+3.8% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Fri 10 Jul, 1:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.8%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks87.8%—84.0%1.14+3.8%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jake Cronenworth (SDP) Under 0.5 Walks (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres welcome the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Jake Cronenworth, especially when it comes to his ability to draw walks. Over the last month, Cronenworth has struggled to find his groove at the plate, putting up a mere 0.16 walks per game. Facing a Diamondbacks pitching staff that has notably tightened its control, especially in crucial moments, makes the prospect of him walking even slimmer. Arizona's pitchers have been adept at avoiding walks, ranking among the league's best in limiting free passes. With the Padres' lineup also in a bit of a funk, Cronenworth may not see many favorable opportunities to get on base via the walk route. Given these trends, betting on him to stay under 0.5 walks seems prudent. The odds favor this outcome, bolstered by recent performances and the current dynamics at play on the diamond.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
75%hit L10
O 0.575%
O 1.525%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
201

Jake Cronenworth MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 1.550%
O 2.550%
O 3.550%
O 4.525%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.3 · hi 2 · lo 0
202

Jake Cronenworth MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Jake Cronenworth MLB home runs: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
75%hit L10
O 0.575%
O 1.575%
O 2.550%
O 3.525%

Jake Cronenworth MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Jake Cronenworth MLB rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
75%hit L10
O 0.575%

Jake Cronenworth MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%

Jake Cronenworth MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
75%hit L10
Streak2

Jake Cronenworth MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -526 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Under -455 ✗ MISS
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
09 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres Batter - Walks — — — Pending
05 Jul 26 San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jake Cronenworth (SDP) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Cronenworth is Under 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Friday 10 July at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks