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Model picks & player props
MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:40 PM ET
Chicago Cubs
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds and backs Cincinnati Reds hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $224.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$22.40Best price+124
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.1%
The price says42.8%

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 1:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds Lean43% chance +124
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot14% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot9% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean45% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot14% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot26% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Lean50% chance Members
Pitcher - Outs × 2 props Highup to 64% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 2 props Leanup to 55% Members
Batter - Singles × 2 props Highup to 69% Members
Batter - Walks × 6 props Leanup to 57% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Leanup to 49% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Highup to 76% Members
Batter - Strikeouts × 8 props Long-shotup to 17% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds last met on Sun 20 Sep 2026: Chicago Cubs won 9-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Cincinnati Reds
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,149+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati RedsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Cincinnati Reds

  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Chase Burns SPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
Availability updated Oct 3, 4:19PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Rhett Lowder Pitcher - Outs
Rhett Lowder Pitcher - Strikeouts
Will Banfield Batter - Singles
David Peterson CHC Pitcher - Strikeouts
Dansby Swanson CHC Batter - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
3.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.8L5 RA4.8Home L53-2vs Chicago Cubs L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.8 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 1 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–4SDAway
L0–8SDAway
W6–2BOSAway
L0–2BOSAway
L3–4BOSAway

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 3.0 runs per game (2-3) while Chicago Cubs are at 5.0 (2-3); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 4.4 earned runs per game versus 4.6 for Chicago Cubs.

3.0
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
5.0
Chicago Cubs runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsChicago Cubs
Runs / game3.05.0
Hits / game7.08.2
Home runs / game0.81.2
Walks drawn / game2.24.4
Batter K / game8.45.8
Earned runs allowed / game4.44.6
Pitching K / game7.08.2
Walks allowed / game5.83.8
L5 record2-32-3

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 4, Chicago Cubs won 6.

DateCincinnati RedsChicago CubsWinner
Sep 2019Chicago Cubs
Sep 1925Chicago Cubs
Sep 1864Cincinnati Reds
Aug 3075Cincinnati Reds
Aug 29517Chicago Cubs
Aug 28108Cincinnati Reds
Jul 1248Chicago Cubs
Jul 1135Chicago Cubs
Jul 1040Cincinnati Reds
May 738Chicago Cubs

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Chase Burns SPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Justin Steele SPOUT
Shelby Miller RPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT
Porter Hodge RPOUT
Cade Horton SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Our Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds prediction for September 21, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 21, 2026 our model has run Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Ian Happ (CHC) Under 0.5 Walks (-112), which we rate LEAN confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Reds, or as Reds vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 20 September 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds head-to-head record

Final scores · 58 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 31–25 across the last 58 meetings · 2 draws · these games average 10.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 20 Sep 2026, Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds: the Cubs won 9-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
20 Sep 2026Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds1–9Chicago Cubs
19 Sep 2026Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds2–5Chicago Cubs
18 Sep 2026Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds6–4Cincinnati Reds
30 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs5–7Cincinnati Reds
29 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs17–5Chicago Cubs
28 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs8–10Cincinnati Reds
12 Jul 2026Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds4–8Chicago Cubs
11 Jul 2026Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds3–5Chicago Cubs
10 Jul 2026Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds4–0Cincinnati Reds
7 May 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago Cubs8–3Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 58 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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