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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for JJ Bleday is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 84%, for a model edge of +5.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:22PM UTC
MLB

JJ Bleday

MLB

+5.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -526 (1.19) · $100→$119
+5.0% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 4:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
89.0%
Implied Probability
84.0%
Model Edge
+5.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles89.0%84.0%1.12+5.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Doubles (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Washington Nationals play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is JJ Bleday Under 0.5 Doubles (-526). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -526 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak3L2055%
O 0.570%
O 1.530%

JJ Bleday MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 1.550%
O 2.540%
O 3.530%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
1000002

JJ Bleday MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

JJ Bleday MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
70%hit L10
Streak3L2070%
O 0.570%
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.530%
O 4.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.2 · hi 1 · lo 0
00001

JJ Bleday MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.1 · hi 1 · lo 0
0001000

JJ Bleday MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.2 · hi 1 · lo 0
001000

JJ Bleday MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0 · hi 0 · lo 0
0000

JJ Bleday MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.6 · hi 1 · lo 0
1101100

JJ Bleday MLB walksseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

JJ Bleday MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -526 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Washington Nationals Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -217 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

JJ Bleday is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for JJ Bleday is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of +5.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 9 August at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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