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The latest Bet Better model pick for Elly De La Cruz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +28.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 8:10AM UTC
MLB

Elly De La Cruz

CIN

+28.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -179 (1.56)
+28.1% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 12:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.2%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+28.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits92.2%—64.1%1.08+28.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 1.5 Hits (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rockies gear up to face the Reds, all eyes will be on Elly De La Cruz, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits might be a stretch. Sure, De La Cruz has shown flashes of brilliance, yet he's recently encountered a tough stretch against left-handed pitchers, which bodes poorly for his hitting today against a Rockies staff that’s been surprisingly effective at home. The Rockies’ pitchers have held opponents to a mere .240 batting average in Coors Field, and with De La Cruz’s recent dip in form—he’s managed only a handful of hits in his last few outings—the under on his batting hits feels like a wise play. Add in the Rockies' ability to limit hits when it matters most, and you’ve got a compelling case for expecting De La Cruz to struggle to find the gaps today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

2 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs COLU 1.5 -179+28.1% edge

Elly De La Cruz MLB hits vs COL. Current line U 1.5 at -179 (+28.1% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs COLU 1.5 +109+29.1% edge
80%hit L10
Streak7L2090%

Elly De La Cruz MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs COL. Current line U 1.5 at +109 (+29.1% model edge).

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Elly De La Cruz MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak12L2080%

Elly De La Cruz MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Elly De La Cruz MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak2L2050%

Elly De La Cruz MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.550%

Elly De La Cruz MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games; averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Jun 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elly De La Cruz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +28.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies on Saturday 18 July at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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