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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Elly De La Cruz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On the Batter - Walks market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 76%, for a model edge of +21.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:16PM UTC
MLB

Elly De La Cruz

CIN

+21.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks Under 1.5 -323 (1.31)
+21.5% Edge
Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 4:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
97.8%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+21.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks97.8%76.3%1.02+21.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Athletics in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks (-323). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

8 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs OAKU 1.5 -127
80%hit L10
Streak7L2090%
Game log vs U 1.54 / 7 hit
7416011

Elly De La Cruz MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs OAK. Current line U 1.5 at -127.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs OAKU 2.5 -152
Game log vs U 2.52 / 4 hit
3051

Elly De La Cruz MLB hits + runs + rbis vs OAK. Current line U 2.5 at -152.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs OAKU 0.5 -200
Game log vs U 0.52 / 4 hit
1020

Elly De La Cruz MLB rbis vs OAK. Current line U 0.5 at -200.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs OAKU 0.5 +110
Game log vs U 0.52 / 4 hit
2020

Elly De La Cruz MLB runs scored vs OAK. Current line U 0.5 at +110.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs OAKU 0.5 -132

Elly De La Cruz MLB singles vs OAK. Current line U 0.5 at -132.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs OAKU 0.5 -556
100%hit L10
Streak11L2090%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 3 hit
000

Elly De La Cruz MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs OAK. Current line U 0.5 at -556.

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs OAKU 1.5 -323
Game log vs U 1.55 / 5 hit
11011

Elly De La Cruz MLB walks vs OAK. Current line U 1.5 at -323.

Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming vs OAKU 0.5 -345
60%hit L10
L2070%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 5 hit
02001

Elly De La Cruz MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs OAK. Current line U 0.5 at -345.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.520%

Elly De La Cruz MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Elly De La Cruz MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Athletics @ Cincinnati Reds Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -556 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Elly De La Cruz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.5% on this pick. Their next game is Athletics vs Cincinnati Reds on Thursday 6 August at Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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