Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet on Elly De La Cruz's stolen bases is a strong choice, primarily driven by his recent home game and opponent-specific performances. De La Cruz's last five home games show an average of just 0.2 stolen bases, indicating a lower likelihood of stealing a base in a home setting. Moreover, his average stolen base rate against the Pittsburgh Pirates, the upcoming opponent, is also at a low 0.2. This suggests that De La Cruz has historically struggled to steal bases against this particular team. Furthermore, his current hit streak is at zero, both overall and at home, which could impact his chances of getting on base to begin with. These trends, combined with the implied probability of 82.6%, make the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.