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Model picks & player props
Cincinnati Reds
VS
Chicago White Sox

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 8:39AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 6:10PM
20
Game markets graded
43
Props graded
63.0%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Cincinnati Reds -4.5 Spread +680

The model graded 63 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $780 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 63.0% across 46 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 6:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win10.9%
The price says12.8%
Best price+680
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Cincinnati Reds -4.5 Long-shot11% chance +680
Moneyline Lean42% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean43% chance
Spread Long-shot5% chance
Spread Long-shot7% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Spread Long-shot11% chance
Spread Long-shot6% chance
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 84%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 4 props Highup to 86%
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 77%
Batter - Walks × 8 props Highup to 96%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 6 props Highup to 98%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Cincinnati Reds
-6.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Elly De La Cruz SSDay-to-day
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Chase Burns SP

Chicago White Sox

  • Tyler Schweitzer RPOut
  • Davis Martin SPOut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Huascar Brazoban RPOut
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Jordan Hicks SP
Availability updated Aug 31, 3:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sal Stewart Batter - Singles
Colson Montgomery Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Matt McLain CIN Batter - Hits
Chase Meidroth Batter - Walks
Munetaka Murakami Batter - Walks

+ 43 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1Free board8-8

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
2.6runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 63 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 43 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
43
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 63 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 62 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 3 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5MINAway
W7–4MINAway
W3–2MINAway
W10–4TEXHome
W11–7TEXHome
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–5CHCAway
L5–17CHCAway
W10–8CHCAway
L1–3SFAway
W10–9SFAway

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 1, Cincinnati Reds won 4.

DateChicago White SoxCincinnati RedsWinner
Aug 1389Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1250Chicago White Sox
Aug 1145Cincinnati Reds
Mar 22711Cincinnati Reds
Feb 2523Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Tyler Schweitzer RPOUT
Davis Martin SPOUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Huascar Brazoban RPOUT
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Joey Bart COUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Elly De La Cruz SSDAY-TO-DAY
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOUT
Graham Ashcraft RPOUT
Brandon Williamson SPOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 RBIs (-256), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
46
Total Picks
63.0%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
13 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Moneyline Cincinnati Reds ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -3 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread Chicago White Sox -3.5 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds -2 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds -3 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds -1.5 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds -2.5 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds +1 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds -2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds -3.5 ✗ MISS
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds -0.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds 0.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Sox, or as Sox vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Thursday 13 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 43 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 63.0% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 21 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 11–10 across the last 21 meetings · these games average 10.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox8–9Cincinnati Reds
12 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox5–0Chicago White Sox
11 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox4–5Cincinnati Reds
22 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds11–7Cincinnati Reds
21 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds11–7Cincinnati Reds
25 Feb 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox2–3Cincinnati Reds
15 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds7–1Cincinnati Reds
14 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds2–4Chicago White Sox
13 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds1–5Chicago White Sox
21 Mar 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds5–8Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 21 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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