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Model picks & player props
MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Cincinnati Reds
VS
Chicago White Sox

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 63 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox and backs Cincinnati Reds -2.5 hardest, a long shot, and $100 on it returns about $420.

20
Game markets graded
43
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Cincinnati Reds
to win by 3+ runs
Cincinnati Reds -2.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$42.00Best price+320
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win23.8%
The price says23.8%

The model graded 63 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $420 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 2:10 PM ET at Guaranteed Rate Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Cincinnati Reds -2.5 Long-shot24% chance +320
Spread Members only Long-shot19% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot29% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean42% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean43% chance Members
Batter - Singles × 5 props Highup to 84% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 4 props Highup to 86% Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Highup to 77% Members
Batter - Walks × 8 props Highup to 96% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 6 props Highup to 98% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Highup to 79% Members
Batter - RBIs × 7 props Highup to 91% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox last met on Thu 13 Aug 2026: Cincinnati Reds won 9-8. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Cincinnati Reds
-3
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 43 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,442+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Dane Myers CFOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut

Chicago White Sox

  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut
Availability updated Oct 23, 8:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sal Stewart Batter - Singles
Colson Montgomery Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Matt McLain CIN Batter - Hits
Chase Meidroth Batter - Walks
Munetaka Murakami Batter - Walks

+ 43 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L55-0vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L55-0vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
4.7runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA3.6Home L55-0vs Cincinnati Reds L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 63 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 43 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
43
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 63 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 62 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–2CLEAway
L5–9CLEHome
L3–9CLEHome
W4–3CLEAway
W3–0CLEAway
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–5TORAway
W5–1TORAway
L5–6TORAway
W7–6ATLAway
L2–3ATLAway

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 1, Cincinnati Reds won 4.

DateChicago White SoxCincinnati RedsWinner
Aug 1389Cincinnati Reds
Aug 1250Chicago White Sox
Aug 1145Cincinnati Reds
Mar 22711Cincinnati Reds
Feb 2523Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Dane Myers CFOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Our Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Munetaka Murakami Under 0.5 RBIs (-256), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Sox, or as Sox vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Thursday 13 August 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 43 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox head-to-head record

Final scores · 21 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 11–10 across the last 21 meetings · these games average 10.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 13 Aug 2026, Cincinnati Reds at Chicago White Sox: the Reds won 9-8.

DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox8–9Cincinnati Reds
12 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox5–0Chicago White Sox
11 Aug 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox4–5Cincinnati Reds
22 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds11–7Cincinnati Reds
21 Mar 2026Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds11–7Cincinnati Reds
25 Feb 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Chicago White Sox2–3Cincinnati Reds
15 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds7–1Cincinnati Reds
14 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds2–4Chicago White Sox
13 May 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds1–5Chicago White Sox
21 Mar 2025Chicago White Sox @ Cincinnati Reds5–8Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 21 meetings on file.

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