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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 14, 12:20AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 10:40PM
4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 8 Total Runs -111

The model graded 4 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 10:40PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win55.2%
The price says52.6%
Best price-111
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 8 Lean55% chance -111
Moneyline Long-shot39% chance —
Total Runs Lean51% chance —
Spread Long-shot39% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every MLB game on today's board →
Los Angeles Dodgers are the model's favourite to beat Cincinnati Reds, with a 61% chance to win. Predicted score: Cincinnati Reds 4.2 – Los Angeles Dodgers 5.7. Kick-off Mon 14 Sep, 10:40PM at Great American Ball Park. Best bet: Over 8 at -111.
How they've been scoring this season
Los Angeles DodgersCincinnati Reds
Won-lost90-5969-79
Runs scored per game4.94.2
Runs allowed per game3.85.2
On the road / at home43-30 away36-38 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWWLLLLLL
Their games average 9.1 total runs this season.
From the 149 Los Angeles Dodgers and 148 Cincinnati Reds games on our books this season.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 47 bookmakers compared
Winner
Dodgers1.52-1921xBet
Reds3.00+200Unibet Nl
Total runs
Over8.52.17+117Kalshi
Under8.51.85-118Bally Bet

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds odds by bookmaker

47 books · best price in green
BookDodgers winReds winReds +1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
1xBet1.52-1922.77+1772.09+109——
888sport1.45-2222.75+1752.00+1002.00+1001.80-125
Bally Bet1.41-2442.95+195—1.96-1041.85-118
BetMGM1.48-2082.70+1702.05+105——
betPARX1.41-2442.95+195—1.96-1041.85-118
BetRivers1.41-2443.00+200—1.96-1041.85-118
Bovada1.47-2132.73+1732.10+1102.05+1051.80-125
Coolbet1.47-2132.70+1702.02+102——
Courtside1.50-2002.73+1732.06+106——
DraftKings1.46-2172.76+1762.04+104——
ESPN BET1.50-2002.70+1702.05+1052.10+1101.77-130
Fanatics1.49-2042.70+1702.00+100——
FanDuel1.48-2082.76+1762.08+1082.00+1001.82-122
Fliff1.43-2332.90+1902.00+1002.00+1001.77-130

Since the market opened: Reds to win opened 2.73, best now 3.00; the over 8.5 opened 1.99, best now 2.20 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 32 of 182 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 12
Carter Jensen Over 0.5
Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $660
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
8
-111
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati RedsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Cincinnati Reds on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Cincinnati Reds
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Cincinnati Reds
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Freddie Freeman 1BDay-to-day
  • Miguel Rojas 2BDay-to-day
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Shohei Ohtani DHOut
  • Eric Lauer SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Emmet Sheehan SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Matt McLain 2BDay-to-day
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Chase Burns SP
Availability updated Sep 13, 9:49PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 14 Sep

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction and Picks, September 14, 2026

On September 14, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (+108), which we rate LONG-SHOT confidence. We walk through all 1 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (+108)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds play Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (+108). That is a spreads bet. It was priced at +108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Bet Better model desk · read as an article

Betting angles

3 markets live
Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles DodgersOver 8 -111
55%over %
9.9proj. runs
L5 RF3.0L5 RA11.2Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L50-5

Cincinnati Reds total runs vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live and our model makes it 55% (LEAN); proj. runs 9.9.

MoneylineCincinnati Reds to win+176
0-5L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA11.2Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L50-5

Cincinnati Reds moneyline vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live and our model makes it 39% (LONG-SHOT); L5 record 0-5.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run line+1.5 +108
-1.6proj. margin
L5 RF3.0L5 RA11.2Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L50-5

Cincinnati Reds spread vs Los Angeles Dodgers is live and our model makes it 39% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin -1.6.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
2.7runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA11.2Home L54-1vs Los Angeles Dodgers L50-5

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 0-5, 3.0 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 0 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L9–13MILAway
L0–20MILAway
L1–14LADAway
L2–3LADAway
L3–6LADAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4MIAAway
W6–2MIAAway
W14–1CINHome
W3–2CINHome
W6–3CINHome

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 8.0 runs per game (2-3) while Los Angeles Dodgers are at 4.4 (4-1); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 4.2 earned runs per game versus 3.6 for Los Angeles Dodgers.

8.0
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
4.4
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsLos Angeles Dodgers
Runs / game8.04.4
Hits / game12.45.8
Home runs / game2.01.2
Walks drawn / game6.03.2
Batter K / game9.87.8
Earned runs allowed / game4.23.6
Pitching K / game7.49.8
Walks allowed / game3.41.4
L5 record2-34-1

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 1, Los Angeles Dodgers won 4.

DateCincinnati RedsLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Sep 10114Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 923Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 836Los Angeles Dodgers
Mar 1359Los Angeles Dodgers
Mar 51413Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Matt McLain 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Freddie Freeman 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Miguel Rojas 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Shohei Ohtani DHOUT
Eric Lauer SPOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds — where the money went

Since betting opened on Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds, the market has moved away from Cincinnati Reds across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Cincinnati Reds▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Los Angeles Dodgers▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 8.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Cincinnati Reds 1.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 8.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Our Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds prediction for September 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 14, 2026 our model has run Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (+108), which we rate LONG-SHOT confidence. We walk through all 1 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Reds, or as Reds vs Dodgers. The next scheduled game is Monday 14 September 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 32 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 20–12 across the last 32 meetings · these games average 9.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
10 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers14–1Los Angeles Dodgers
9 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–2Los Angeles Dodgers
8 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–3Los Angeles Dodgers
7 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers6–3Los Angeles Dodgers
13 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers9–5Los Angeles Dodgers
12 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers9–5Los Angeles Dodgers
5 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds14–13Cincinnati Reds
1 Oct 2025Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers8–4Los Angeles Dodgers
30 Sep 2025Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers10–5Los Angeles Dodgers
27 Aug 2025Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–1Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 32 meetings on file.

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