Tyler Stephenson (CIN) Under 1.5 Hits (-250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Padres gear up to face the Reds, all eyes will be on Tyler Stephenson, but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits seems risky. The Padres’ pitching staff has been nothing short of dominant lately, with a strong emphasis on their ability to neutralize opposing bats. They’ve held opponents to a mere .220 batting average over their last few series, creating a tough environment for hitters.
Stephenson has struggled against right-handed pitchers, hitting just .220 in such matchups this season. With the Padres sending out their ace, who boasts a stellar WHIP and strikeout rate, Stephenson could find himself stymied at the plate. The model’s prediction of just 0.6 hits for him aligns with the recent trend of hitters faltering against this formidable rotation. With the odds favoring the under, it’s hard to see Stephenson breaking through in this matchup.