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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:30PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Fri 11 Jul 2025, 11:10PM
0
Game markets graded
9
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Michael Lorenzen SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Nick Lodolo SPOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut

Probable pitcher

Brady Singer SP
Availability updated Aug 9, 6:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
German Marquez COL Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tyler Freeman COL Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brady Singer CIN Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Matt McLain CIN Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Elly De La Cruz CIN Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds — 0 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 1 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–7WSHAway
L2–8WSHAway
L3–5WSHAway
W6–5ATHHome
W3–2ATHHome
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L4–7STLAway
L2–3STLAway
W8–6STLAway
L7–9TBHome
L0–4TBHome

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 2, Colorado Rockies won 1.

DateCincinnati RedsColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 1996Cincinnati Reds
Jul 18310Colorado Rockies
Jul 1872Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Brandon Williamson SPOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Nick Lodolo SPOUT
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Graham Ashcraft RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Jaden Hill RPOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Jeff Criswell RPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies. Includes analysis on key players like Elly De La Cruz. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Elly De La Cruz's stolen bases is statistically supported. Looking at his recent performance, Cruz's stolen base average is significantly lower at home (0.2) compared to his overall average (1). His performance against the Colorado Rockies also shows a lower average stolen base rate (0.4). Furthermore, the average caught stealing rate by the Rockies is 0.4, indicating a strong defensive play against stolen bases. Additionally, Cruz is currently on a hitless streak both overall and at home, which reduces his opportunities to steal bases. Combining these factors, it is statistically more likely that Cruz will not achieve more than 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Reds, or as Reds vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Friday 11 July 2025 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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