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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:03PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Sun 13 Jul 2025, 5:40PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Cincinnati Reds Moneyline -250

The model graded 6 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $140 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Jul 2025, 5:40PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win86.3%
The price says71.4%
Best price-250

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati RedsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Ryan Feltner SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Mason Adams SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Chase Burns SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:20PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA4.2Home L50-5vs Colorado Rockies L51-4

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 0-5, 1.4 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF1.4L5 RA4.2Home L50-5vs Colorado Rockies L51-4

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 0-5, 1.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
1.0runs we expect
L5 RF1.4L5 RA4.2Home L50-5vs Colorado Rockies L51-4

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 0-5, 1.4 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L5–17CHCAway
W10–8CHCAway
L1–3SFAway
W10–9SFAway
L0–5SFAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2ATLAway
L4–6ATLAway
L1–7WSHAway
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 8.0 runs per game (2-3) while Colorado Rockies are at 4.3 (2-3); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 4.2 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for Colorado Rockies.

8.0
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
4.3
Colorado Rockies runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsColorado Rockies
Runs / game8.04.3
Hits / game12.45.6
Home runs / game2.00.6
Walks drawn / game6.03.9
Batter K / game9.88.0
Earned runs allowed / game4.22.8
Pitching K / game7.45.1
Walks allowed / game3.43.2
L5 record2-32-3

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 5, Colorado Rockies won 3.

DateCincinnati RedsColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 1996Cincinnati Reds
Jul 1872Cincinnati Reds
Jul 18310Colorado Rockies
Apr 3064Cincinnati Reds
Apr 29213Colorado Rockies
Apr 2872Cincinnati Reds
Mar 1868Colorado Rockies
Mar 1081Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOUT
Graham Ashcraft RPOUT
Brandon Williamson SPOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Ryan Feltner SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies. Includes analysis on key players like Elly De La Cruz. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.

Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Elly De La Cruz's stolen bases is statistically supported. Looking at his recent performance, Cruz's stolen base average is significantly lower at home (0.2) compared to his overall average (1). His performance against the Colorado Rockies also shows a lower average stolen base rate (0.4). Furthermore, the average caught stealing rate by the Rockies is 0.4, indicating a strong defensive play against stolen bases. Additionally, Cruz is currently on a hitless streak both overall and at home, which reduces his opportunities to steal bases. Combining these factors, it is statistically more likely that Cruz will not achieve more than 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Reds, or as Reds vs Rockies. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 July 2025 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 33 meetings on record
Cincinnati Reds 24–9 across the last 33 meetings · these games average 11.1 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies6–9Cincinnati Reds
18 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies10–3Colorado Rockies
17 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies2–7Cincinnati Reds
30 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds6–4Cincinnati Reds
29 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds2–13Colorado Rockies
28 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds7–2Cincinnati Reds
18 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds6–8Colorado Rockies
10 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies1–8Cincinnati Reds
13 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds4–2Cincinnati Reds
12 Jul 2025Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds4–3Cincinnati Reds

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 33 meetings on file.

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