On October 1, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 2 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Sonny Gray (BOS) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-149), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.
The props we like today
Trent Grisham (SDP) Under 0.5 Hits (-101)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Trent Grisham (SDP) Under 0.5 Hits (-101). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -101 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+118)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Atlanta Braves play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Brandon Marsh (PHI) Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+118). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +118 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Justin Crawford (PHI) Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+117)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Atlanta Braves play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Justin Crawford (PHI) Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+117). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at +117 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Garcia Jr. (WSN) Under 0.5 Hits (+161). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $26.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Sonny Gray (BOS) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-149)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Sonny Gray (BOS) Over 3.5 Hits Allowed (-149). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.71 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Luis Garcia Jr. (WSN) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Garcia Jr. (WSN) Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-132). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.58 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
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