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MLB · model output · updated daily

MLB predicted scores: the model's number for every game

As of 27 Sep 2026, the model rates New York Yankees 50% to beat Baltimore Orioles, in the next MLB game it has priced. 12 games are on the board below, every one graded in public on the record.

Our model projects a final score for each of the 12 upcoming MLB games, refreshed daily and free to quote with credit. Updated 27 Sep 2026, 07:43 UTC

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 17:05 UTC
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 17:05 UTC
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 19:05 UTC
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 19:07 UTC
Texas Rangers at Minnesota Twins
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC
Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC
Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers 46% to beat Pittsburgh Pirates
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC · Detroit Tigers win chance: 46% · "Bet Better model: Detroit Tigers 46% to beat Pittsburgh Pirates"
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC
Colorado Rockies at Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox by 0.3
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC · "Bet Better model: Chicago White Sox by 0.3"
Cleveland Guardians at Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals 44% to beat Cleveland Guardians
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC · Kansas City Royals win chance: 44% · "Bet Better model: Kansas City Royals 44% to beat Cleveland Guardians"
Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners
Model line landing closer to game time
Sun 27 Sep, 19:10 UTC
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Model line landing closer to game time
Tue 29 Sep, 07:33 UTC

How these are made: the model estimates a margin and a combined total for each game; the projected score is the pair of numbers those two imply. They are estimates, not certainties — treat them as the model's centre of gravity, not a promise. Quote freely with credit to Bet Better (CC BY 4.0). See MLB picks, live MLB odds, or the free model API for the underlying probabilities. 18+. Model output is not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.

Get this page as data: the same predictions are served machine-readable at mlb?format=csv and ?format=json — fixed columns, UTC times, free to use with credit. Trackers and aggregators welcome; the columns won't change without notice. More endpoints on the free model API page.

How accurate are these predictions?

Over the last 2203 graded MLB games, the model named the winner 55% of the time. The bookmakers' own prices pointed to the winner 56% of the time on the same games. Every game is graded against the final score — misses included.

The numbers for stat-heads

Brier score (lower is better): model 0.255 vs bookmaker-price 0.245. The bookmaker figure is taken from the tipped side's price at publish time, so it carries the bookmaker's margin. Window: last 90 days, one moneyline prediction per game, graded only when a final score is on our books.

The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 115 of 198 right · +$2,765 at $100 flat
Latest cashed · this bet typeSep 27
Kade Anderson Under 15.5
Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $166
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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