On November 01, 2026 our model has run Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Over 20.5 Team Total Points (-108), which we rate strong confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Over 20.5 Team Total Points (-108)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Denver Broncos have been finding success with their passing game lately, which is a big plus for this matchup. They managed to score well when throwing the ball, and with their quarterback facing a solid number of extra rushers last season, they still put up decent numbers. Betting on them to score over 20.5 points seems promising, especially given that the Kansas City Chiefs have struggled on the road.
While both teams have had mixed results against the spread on grass, the Broncos' offense is better suited for this game. However, a concrete risk lies in how often the Chiefs' defense can pressure the quarterback, as they have shown some ability to disrupt plays. Still, with the Broncos' recent form, it feels like they have a good shot at hitting that point total.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Xavier Worthy Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-109)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Xavier Worthy needs to catch more than 30.5 receiving yards tonight for this bet to hit. He has shown promise in the past, and the Denver Broncos' defense struggles against the pass. Their quarterback has faced a lot of pressure, which could lead to quick throws and more chances for Worthy to rack up yards.
The Chiefs' defense also hasn't been great, especially on grass, where they've performed poorly recently. Worthy's ability to get open can take advantage of this weakness, and with the Broncos leaning more on their passing game, he should get plenty of opportunities. The biggest risk is how close the two teams are in talent, but Worthy has a good chance to shine.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes Over 226.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Patrick Mahomes is known for his big plays, and he's been impressive this season, throwing for more yards than running the ball. He managed to get extra rushers on his dropbacks less often than Denver's quarterback, which could help him find open receivers more easily. The Broncos have struggled against strong passers, making this a good matchup for Mahomes to shine.
While both teams are closely matched, Mahomes' ability to throw for big yardage often gives him an advantage. The risk here is that the game could be tighter than expected, but with Mahomes' talent, betting on him to throw for over 226.5 yards feels worth a shot.
Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Xavier Worthy Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Odds correct at time of publishing
For Xavier Worthy to go over 29.5 receiving yards tonight, he needs to connect with the quarterback early and often. The Denver Broncos have shown that they get more yardage from passing than running, which should give Worthy plenty of opportunities to make plays. With the Broncos' quarterback facing extra rushers a lot, they may rely on quick, short passes, which could work in Worthy's favor.
The Chiefs have struggled a bit more in their passing game this season, and their defense might not be able to keep up with Worthy's speed. The biggest risk is that both teams are pretty even in how they use their quarterbacks, so it could be a tight game. Still, our numbers show a good chance for Worthy to go over that yardage mark.
That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.