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Model picks & player props
NFL
Miami
Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs
VS
Miami Dolphins

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 60 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins and backs Miami Dolphins 3.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $224.

20
Game markets graded
40
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Miami Dolphins 3.5
Miami Dolphins 3.5 Alternate Spreads H2
You bet$10 If it wins$22.40Best price+124
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.9%
The price says42.0%

The model graded 60 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 27 Sep 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Miami.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Spreads H2 Miami Dolphins 3.5 Lean52% chance +124
Spreads H2 Members only High61% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H2 Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Moneyline 3 Way H2 Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only High79% chance Members
Team Totals H2 Members only Lean60% chance Members
Moneyline Q3 Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only Lean42% chance Members
Spreads Q3 Members only Lean55% chance Members
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 78% Members
Rushing Attempts × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
Pass Attempts × 1 prop Highup to 71% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 88% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins last met on Sun 27 Sep 2026: Kansas City Chiefs won 24-10. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Spreads H2
Miami Dolphins
3.5
+124
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 40 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,284+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsSpreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline 3 Way H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsMoneyline Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsSpreads Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Miami DolphinsSpreads Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Josh Simmons OTQuestionable
  • Tyquan Thornton WROut
  • Rashee Rice WRQuestionable

Miami Dolphins

  • JuJu Brents CBQuestionable
  • Michael Taaffe SQuestionable
  • Jonah Savaiinaea GQuestionable
  • Kaytron Allen RBOut
  • Reese Taylor CBOut
  • Justin Joly TEOut
  • Caleb Douglas WROut
  • Chukwuebuka Godrick OTOut
  • Robert Beal Jr. DEOut
  • DJ Campbell GOut
  • Storm Duck CBOut
Availability updated Oct 12, 2:15AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
De'Von Achane MIA Receptions
De'Von Achane MIA Rushing Attempts
Malik Willis MIA Pass Attempts
Kevin Coleman Jr. MIA Receptions
De'Von Achane MIA Rushing Yards

+ 40 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMiami Dolphins to winNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadMiami Dolphins spreadNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChiefs @ DolphinsNo line posted

Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins — what the model found

Our model graded 60 betting markets for Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins — 20 on the game itself and 40 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
40
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 60 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 59 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins — recent results

Miami Dolphins have won 0 of their last 5 games; Kansas City Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5.

Miami Dolphins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L24–31CINHome
L10–15MINAway
L10–24KCHome
L13–35SFAway
L13–27LVAway
Kansas City Chiefs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W30–27LVAway
W24–10MIAAway
W33–30INDHome
W31–10DENHome
D9–9SEAHome

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Miami Dolphins won 0, Kansas City Chiefs won 1.

DateMiami DolphinsKansas City ChiefsWinner
Sep 271024Kansas City Chiefs

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Miami Dolphins
PlayerStatus
JuJu Brents CBQUESTIONABLE
Michael Taaffe SQUESTIONABLE
Jonah Savaiinaea GQUESTIONABLE
Kaytron Allen RBOUT
Reese Taylor CBOUT
Justin Joly TEOUT
Caleb Douglas WROUT
Chukwuebuka Godrick OTOUT
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerStatus
Josh Simmons OTQUESTIONABLE
Tyquan Thornton WROUT
Rashee Rice WRQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chiefs vs Dolphins, or as Dolphins vs Chiefs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 27 September 2026 at Miami. The model has generated 20 game picks and 40 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
Kansas City Chiefs 5–0 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 40.8 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Sun 27 Sep 2026, Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins: the Chiefs won 24-10.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Sep 2026Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins10–24Kansas City Chiefs
13 Jan 2024Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs26–7Kansas City Chiefs
5 Nov 2023Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs21–14Kansas City Chiefs
13 Dec 2020Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins27–33Kansas City Chiefs
24 Dec 2017Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs29–13Kansas City Chiefs

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