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Model picks & player props
Jacksonville Jaguars
VS
Denver Broncos

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 15, 11:34AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Denver
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 8:05PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 5.5 Alternate Team Totals H2 +440

The model graded 20 markets for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $540 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 8:05PM at Denver.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win26.6%
The price says17.4%
Best price+440
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Totals H2 Under 5.5 Long-shot27% chance +440
Alternate Team Totals H2 Long-shot32% chance —
Alternate Team Totals H1 Long-shot11% chance —
Alternate Team Totals H2 Long-shot22% chance —
Alternate Team Total Points Long-shot19% chance —
Alternate Team Totals H1 Long-shot23% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Long-shot26% chance —
Alternate Totals H1 Long-shot17% chance —
Alternate Team Totals H2 Long-shot9% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Jacksonville Jaguars are the model's favourite to beat Denver Broncos, with a 50% chance to win. Kick-off Sun 20 Sep, 8:05PM at Denver. Best bet: Under 5.5 at +440.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 19 bookmakers compared
Winner
Jaguars2.16+116Courtside
Denver Broncos1.82-122Kalshi
Total points
Over44.51.98-102DraftKings
Under44.51.96-104Kalshi

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos odds by bookmaker

19 books · best price in green
BookJaguars winDenver Broncos winDenver Broncos -2.5Over 44.5Under 44.5
Bally Bet2.12+1121.74-1351.91-1101.92-1091.89-112
BetMGM2.15+1151.71-1411.87-1151.93-1081.91-110
betPARX2.12+1121.74-1351.91-1101.92-1091.89-112
BetRivers2.12+1121.74-1351.91-1101.92-1091.89-112
Bovada2.15+1151.74-1351.91-110——
DraftKings2.14+1141.74-1351.91-1101.98-1021.85-118
ESPN BET2.15+1151.74-1351.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
Fanatics2.15+1151.71-1411.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
FanDuel2.14+1141.75-1331.93-1081.91-1101.91-110
Fliff2.05+1051.77-130—1.91-1101.91-110
Hard Rock Bet2.15+1151.74-135———
Hard Rock Bet (FL)2.15+1151.74-135———
Hard Rock Bet (OH)2.15+1151.74-135———
Kalshi2.13+1131.82-1222.00+1001.96-1041.96-104

Since the market opened: Denver Broncos to win opened 1.67, best now 1.87; the over 44.5 opened 1.91, best now 2.02 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Totals H2
Under
2.5
+1400
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosSpreads Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosSpreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Jacksonville Jaguars on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Jacksonville Jaguars
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Fanatics
on Jacksonville Jaguars
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Brian Thomas Jr. WRQuestionable
  • B.J. Green II DEQuestionable
  • Sam Mustipher COut
  • Patrick Mekari GOut

Denver Broncos

  • Tyler Badie RBOut
  • Sam Ehlinger QBOut
  • Tyler Onyedim DTOut
  • Jordan Jackson DTOut
  • Dallen Bentley TEOut
  • Kage Casey OTOut
  • Jonathon Cooper LBOut
  • Nick Gargiulo GOut
  • Frank Crum OTOut
  • Caleb Lohner TEOut
Availability updated Sep 15, 4:20AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
MoneylineJacksonville Jaguars to win+114
50%model win %

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDenver Broncos spreadNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsJaguars @ BroncosNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos — recent results

Denver Broncos have won 2 of their last 5 games; Jacksonville Jaguars have won 3 of their last 5.

Denver Broncos — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L10–31KCAway
W34–6MINHome
L13–33GBHome
W27–7ATLAway
L7–10NEHome
Jacksonville Jaguars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W34–10CLEHome
W19–0TBHome
L17–34CARHome
W24–20NOAway
L24–27BUFHome

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Denver Broncos
PlayerStatus
Tyler Badie RBOUT
Sam Ehlinger QBOUT
Tyler Onyedim DTOUT
Jordan Jackson DTOUT
Dallen Bentley TEOUT
Kage Casey OTOUT
Jonathon Cooper LBOUT
Nick Gargiulo GOUT
Jacksonville Jaguars
PlayerStatus
Brian Thomas Jr. WRQUESTIONABLE
B.J. Green II DEQUESTIONABLE
Sam Mustipher COUT
Patrick Mekari GOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos — where the money went

Since betting opened on Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos, the market has moved toward Jacksonville Jaguars across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Jacksonville Jaguars▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Denver Broncos▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Denver Broncos -2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Jacksonville Jaguars 2.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Denver Broncos 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 43.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 43.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Jaguars vs Broncos, or as Broncos vs Jaguars. The next scheduled game is Sunday 20 September 2026 at Denver. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
Denver Broncos 3–2 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 41.6 points (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
21 Dec 2025Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos20–34Jacksonville Jaguars
30 Oct 2022Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars17–21Denver Broncos
19 Sep 2021Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars13–23Denver Broncos
29 Sep 2019Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos24–26Jacksonville Jaguars
4 Dec 2016Denver Broncos @ Jacksonville Jaguars10–20Denver Broncos
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