Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
NFL
Kansas City
Sun 20 Sep 2026, 8:20 PM ET
Indianapolis Colts
VS
Kansas City Chiefs

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs and backs Indianapolis Colts 2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $224.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Indianapolis Colts 2.5
Indianapolis Colts 2.5 Alternate Spreads H1
You bet$10 If it wins$22.40Best price+124
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.2%
The price says44.6%

The model graded 70 markets for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 20 Sep 2026, 8:20 PM ET at Kansas City.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Spreads H1 Indianapolis Colts 2.5 Lean48% chance +124
Alternate Spreads H1 Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H1 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Moneyline H1 Members only Long-shot38% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean47% chance Members
Spreads H1 Members only Lean53% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean56% chance Members
Moneyline 3 Way H1 Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Moneyline Q1 Members only Long-shot40% chance Members
Rushing Attempts × 1 prop Highup to 65% Members
Rushing Yards × 2 props Highup to 73% Members
Last Touchdown Scorer × 15 props Long-shotup to 27% Members
Receiving Yards × 4 props Highup to 70% Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 3 props Highup to 89% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs last met on Sun 20 Sep 2026: Kansas City Chiefs won 33-30. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

Unlock every pick for this game

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Spreads H1
Indianapolis Colts
2.5
+124
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 71,793+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsMoneyline 3 Way H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsMoneyline Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Indianapolis ColtsSpreads Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Indianapolis Colts

  • Justin Walley CBQuestionable
  • Bryce Boettcher LBOut
  • Riley Leonard QBOut
  • Sauce Gardner CBOut
  • Dalton Tucker GOut
  • Tyler Warren TEOut
  • Anthony Gould WROut
  • CJ Allen LBOut
  • Alec Pierce WROut

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Garrett Nussmeier QBOut
  • Jack Pyburn LBOut
  • Rashee Rice WROut
  • Ben VanSumeren FBOut
  • Jadon Canady CBOut
  • Jaylon Moore OTOut
  • Brashard Smith RBOut
  • Josh Simmons OTOut
Availability updated Oct 26, 4:03AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Patrick Mahomes KC Rushing Attempts
Patrick Mahomes KC Rushing Yards
Brashard Smith KC Last Touchdown Scorer
Noah Gray KC Receiving Yards
Emmett Johnson KC Receiving Yards (Alt)

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineIndianapolis Colts to winNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadIndianapolis Colts spreadNo line posted

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsColts @ ChiefsNo line posted

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs — recent results

Kansas City Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5 games; Indianapolis Colts have won 2 of their last 5.

Kansas City Chiefs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–20SEAAway
W22–6LACHome
W30–27LVAway
W24–10MIAAway
W33–30INDHome
Indianapolis Colts — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L10–16MINAway
L20–26TENHome
L22–34PITAway
W30–13WSHAway
W19–17HOUHome

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Kansas City Chiefs won 1, Indianapolis Colts won 0.

DateKansas City ChiefsIndianapolis ColtsWinner
Sep 213330Kansas City Chiefs

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerStatus
Garrett Nussmeier QBOUT
Jack Pyburn LBOUT
Rashee Rice WROUT
Ben VanSumeren FBOUT
Jadon Canady CBOUT
Jaylon Moore OTOUT
Brashard Smith RBOUT
Josh Simmons OTOUT
Indianapolis Colts
PlayerStatus
Justin Walley CBQUESTIONABLE
Bryce Boettcher LBOUT
Riley Leonard QBOUT
Sauce Gardner CBOUT
Dalton Tucker GOUT
Tyler Warren TEOUT
Anthony Gould WROUT
CJ Allen LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Colts vs Chiefs, or as Chiefs vs Colts. The most recent game between them was Sunday 20 September 2026 at Kansas City. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs head-to-head record

Final scores · 6 meetings on record
Kansas City Chiefs 4–2 across the last 6 meetings · these games average 43.8 points (meetings on record since 2016)

Last meeting: Mon 21 Sep 2026, Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs: the Chiefs won 33-30.

DateGameScoreWinner
21 Sep 2026Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs33–30Kansas City Chiefs
23 Nov 2025Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs23–20Kansas City Chiefs
25 Sep 2022Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts20–17Indianapolis Colts
6 Oct 2019Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs13–19Indianapolis Colts
12 Jan 2019Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs31–13Kansas City Chiefs
30 Oct 2016Kansas City Chiefs @ Indianapolis Colts14–30Kansas City Chiefs
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.