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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Rams
VS
Denver Broncos

Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 22, 6:43AM UTC

Our model graded 20 markets for Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos and backs Over 9.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $191.

NFL
Denver
Mon 28 Sep 2026, 12:20AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9.5 Totals Q3 -110

The model graded 20 markets for Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $191 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 28 Sep 2026, 12:20AM at Denver.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.1%
The price says50.0%
Best price-110
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Totals Q3 Over 9.5 High64% chance -110
Moneyline 3 Way Q1 Members only Lean54% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only Lean57% chance Members
Alternate Totals H2 Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H1 Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Moneyline H2 Members only Lean48% chance Members
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Los Angeles Rams are the model's favourite to beat Denver Broncos, with a 54% chance to win. Predicted score: Denver Broncos 21.5 – Los Angeles Rams 22.7. Kick-off Mon 28 Sep, 12:20AM at Denver. Best bet: Over 9.5 at -110.
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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 349 of 542 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 22
Over 14.5
New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $132
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Totals Q3
Over
9.5
-110
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,699+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotals Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles RamsMoneyline 3 Way Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosMoneyline H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Denver Broncos on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Denver Broncos
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on Los Angeles Rams
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Rams

  • Ronnie Rivers RBOut
  • Ty Simpson QBOut
  • Jordan Whittington WROut
  • Bill Murray GOut
  • Kamren Kinchens SOut
  • CJ Daniels WROut
  • Puka Nacua WROut
  • Myles Garrett DEOut

Denver Broncos

  • Marvin Mims Jr. WROut
  • RJ Harvey RBOut
  • J.K. Dobbins RBQuestionable
  • Jonathon Cooper LBOut
  • Nick Gargiulo GOut
  • Frank Crum OTOut
  • Caleb Lohner TEOut
Availability updated Sep 22, 2:16AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

2 markets live
MoneylineDenver Broncos to winNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDenver Broncos spread+2.5 -106
54%cover %

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsRams @ BroncosUnder 45.5 -105
54%under %

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos — recent results

Denver Broncos have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Rams have won 4 of their last 5.

Denver Broncos — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W20–13JAXHome
L10–31KCAway
W34–6MINHome
L13–33GBHome
W27–7ATLAway
Los Angeles Rams — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W28–6NYGHome
L7–27SFHome
W20–18LACAway
W34–0NOHome
W20–12KCAway

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Denver Broncos
PlayerStatus
Marvin Mims Jr. WROUT
RJ Harvey RBOUT
J.K. Dobbins RBQUESTIONABLE
Jonathon Cooper LBOUT
Nick Gargiulo GOUT
Frank Crum OTOUT
Caleb Lohner TEOUT
Los Angeles Rams
PlayerStatus
Ronnie Rivers RBOUT
Ty Simpson QBOUT
Jordan Whittington WROUT
Bill Murray GOUT
Kamren Kinchens SOUT
CJ Daniels WROUT
Puka Nacua WROUT
Myles Garrett DEOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos — where the money went

Since betting opened on Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos, the market has moved toward Denver Broncos across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Denver Broncos▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Los Angeles Rams▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Los Angeles Rams -2▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Denver Broncos 2▲ Money came for this
Spread — Los Angeles Rams -3▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Denver Broncos 3▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 45.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Denver Broncos 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Rams vs Denver Broncos in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Rams vs Broncos, or as Broncos vs Rams. The next scheduled game is Monday 28 September 2026 at Denver. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Los Angeles Rams 2–0 across the last 2 meetings (meetings on record since 2018)
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Dec 2022Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Rams51–14Los Angeles Rams
14 Oct 2018Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos20–23Los Angeles Rams

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