Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Kansas City Chiefs
VS
Las Vegas Raiders

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 29, 6:19PM UTC

Our model graded 32 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders and backs Under 19.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $450.

NFL
Las Vegas
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 8:25PM
20
Game markets graded
12
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 19.5 Alternate Team Total Points +350

The model graded 32 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $450 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 8:25PM at Las Vegas.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win40.6%
The price says21.2%
Best price+350
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Under 19.5 Lean41% chance +350
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean55% chance Members
Team Total Members only High69% chance Members
Spread Members only High69% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean56% chance Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 86% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 1 prop Highup to 97% Members
Anytime TD × 7 props Leanup to 55% Members
Rushing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 65% Members
Passing Touchdowns (Alt) × 1 prop Long-shotup to 18% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Leanup to 55% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
Las Vegas Raiders are the model's favourite to beat Kansas City Chiefs, with a 50% chance to win. Predicted score: Las Vegas Raiders 23.7 – Kansas City Chiefs 21.7. Kick-off Sun 4 Oct, 8:25PM at Las Vegas. Best bet: Under 19.5 at +350.
How they've been scoring this season
Kansas City ChiefsLas Vegas Raiders
Won-lost3-03-0
Points scored per game29.329.3
Points allowed per game16.718.0
On the road / at home1-0 away1-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWWWWWW
Their games average 46.7 total points this season.
From the 3 Kansas City Chiefs and 3 Las Vegas Raiders games on our books this season.
Unlock every pick for this game

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 22 bookmakers compared
Winner
Chiefs1.52-194Kalshi
Raiders2.89+189Courtside
Total points
Over47.51.96-104Kalshi
Under47.52.00+100Kalshi

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders odds by bookmaker

22 books · best price in green
BookChiefs winRaiders winRaiders +4.5Over 47.5Under 47.5
Bally Bet1.45-2222.80+1801.93-108——
BetAnySports1.47-2132.75+1751.91-110——
BetOnline1.50-2002.74+1741.91-110——
betPARX1.45-2222.80+1801.93-108——
BetRivers1.45-2222.80+1801.93-108——
BetUS1.50-2002.70+1701.91-110——
Bovada1.48-2082.75+1751.91-1101.87-1151.95-105
Courtside1.45-2222.89+1891.93-1081.88-1141.97-103
DraftKings1.44-2272.85+1851.93-1081.87-1151.95-105
ESPN BET1.47-2132.80+180—1.91-1101.91-110
Fanatics1.47-2132.75+1751.91-1101.91-1101.91-110
FanDuel1.45-2222.84+1841.93-1081.91-1101.91-110
Fliff1.43-2332.75+1751.91-1101.91-1101.87-115
Hard Rock Bet1.45-2222.80+1801.91-1101.91-1101.91-110

Since the market opened: Raiders to win opened 2.93, best now 2.89; the over 47.5 opened 1.92, best now 1.96 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 491 of 840 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 29
Over 7.5
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $109
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
20.5
+250
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 12 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 58,401+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Las Vegas Raiders on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Las Vegas Raiders
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

FanDuel
on Las Vegas Raiders
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Chamarri Conner SOut
  • Josh Simmons OTOut

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Jackson Powers-Johnson GQuestionable
  • Jack Bech WROut
  • Treydan Stukes SOut
  • Aidan O'Connell QBOut
Availability updated Sep 29, 4:10AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders: The game is played indoor dome, so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 6 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueindoor dome
Surfacenatural grass
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability6 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ashton Jeanty LV Rushing Yards (Alt)
Kirk Cousins LV Passing Yards (Alt)
Michael Mayer LV Anytime TD
Ashton Jeanty LV Rushing Yards
Tre Tucker LV Anytime TD

+ 12 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

Unlock every player prop for this game

The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

Bet Better Unlock player props
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Betting angles

3 markets live
MoneylineLas Vegas Raiders to win+190
50%model win %

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLas Vegas Raiders spread+4.5 -105
69%cover %

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChiefs @ RaidersUnder 47.5 -105
56%under %

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders — what the model found

Our model graded 32 betting markets for Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders — 20 on the game itself and 12 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
12
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 32 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 31 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent results

Las Vegas Raiders have won 4 of their last 5 games; Kansas City Chiefs have won 3 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Raiders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W35–27NOAway
W26–14LACAway
W27–13MIAHome
L12–18SFHome
W22–20HOUAway
Kansas City Chiefs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W24–10MIAAway
W33–30INDHome
W31–10DENHome
D9–9SEAHome
L15–16TBAway

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Las Vegas Raiders won 1, Kansas City Chiefs won 0.

DateLas Vegas RaidersKansas City ChiefsWinner
Jan 41412Las Vegas Raiders

Who’s out or in doubt

6 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerStatus
Jackson Powers-Johnson GQUESTIONABLE
Jack Bech WROUT
Treydan Stukes SOUT
Aidan O'Connell QBOUT
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerStatus
Chamarri Conner SOUT
Josh Simmons OTOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders — where the money went

Since betting opened on Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders, the market has moved toward Las Vegas Raiders across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Las Vegas Raiders▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 46.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 46.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Kansas City Chiefs -4.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Las Vegas Raiders 4.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 48.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 48.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Kansas City Chiefs▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chiefs vs Raiders, or as Raiders vs Chiefs. The next scheduled game is Sunday 4 October 2026 at Las Vegas. The model has generated 20 game picks and 12 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 22 meetings on record
Kansas City Chiefs 18–4 across the last 22 meetings · these games average 47.2 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Jan 2026Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders14–12Las Vegas Raiders
19 Oct 2025Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs31–0Kansas City Chiefs
29 Nov 2024Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs19–17Kansas City Chiefs
27 Oct 2024Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders20–27Kansas City Chiefs
25 Dec 2023Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs14–20Las Vegas Raiders
26 Nov 2023Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders17–31Kansas City Chiefs
7 Jan 2023Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders13–31Kansas City Chiefs
10 Oct 2022Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs30–29Kansas City Chiefs
12 Dec 2021Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs48–9Kansas City Chiefs
14 Nov 2021Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders14–41Kansas City Chiefs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 22 meetings on file.

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.