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Model picks & player props
NFL
Las Vegas
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs
VS
Las Vegas Raiders

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders and backs Under 22.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $300.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Kansas City Chiefs
under 22.5 points
Under 22.5 Alternate Team Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$30.00Best price+200
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.2%
The price says31.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $300 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 4:25 PM ET at Las Vegas.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Kansas City Chiefs Under 22.5 Lean42% chance +200
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean55% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean60% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean53% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean50% chance Members
Alternate Spreads H1 Members only Lean42% chance Members
Moneyline H1 Members only Lean44% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Spreads H1 Members only Lean55% chance Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 97% Members
Rushing Yards × 5 props Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Attempts × 3 props Highup to 70% Members
Passing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 98% Members
Receiving Yards × 8 props Highup to 72% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders last met on Sun 4 Oct 2026: Kansas City Chiefs won 30-27. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
22.5
+200
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 70,821+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersMoneyline H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersAlternate Spreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Las Vegas RaidersSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Josh Simmons OTOut
  • Travis Kelce TEQuestionable
  • L'Jarius Sneed CBQuestionable
  • Rashee Rice WRQuestionable
  • Cooper McDonald LBOut
  • Jaylon Moore OTQuestionable
  • Tyquan Thornton WROut

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Quay Walker LBQuestionable
  • Dont'e Thornton Jr. WROut
  • Kolton Miller OTQuestionable
  • Folorunso Fatukasi DTQuestionable
  • Mike Washington Jr. RBQuestionable
  • Brock Bowers TEQuestionable
  • Tonka Hemingway DTQuestionable
  • Carter Runyon TEOut
Availability updated Oct 22, 4:52PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders: The game is played indoor dome, so wind and rain won't touch the passing or kicking game, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueindoor dome
Surfacenatural grass
Wind / weatherIndoors — wind and precipitation are not a factor
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: indoor and domed games remove wind and rain from the equation, which tends to support passing totals and kicking accuracy versus an exposed outdoor game.

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See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Ashton Jeanty LV Rushing Yards (Alt)
Kenneth Walker III KC Rushing Yards
Ashton Jeanty LV Rushing Attempts
Kirk Cousins LV Passing Yards (Alt)
Rashee Rice KC Receiving Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLas Vegas Raiders to winNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadLas Vegas Raiders spreadNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChiefs @ RaidersNo line posted

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent results

Las Vegas Raiders have won 2 of their last 5 games; Kansas City Chiefs have won 5 of their last 5.

Las Vegas Raiders — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L30–33BUFHome
L17–45NEAway
L27–30KCHome
W35–27NOAway
W26–14LACAway
Kansas City Chiefs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W22–6LACHome
W30–27LVAway
W24–10MIAAway
W33–30INDHome
W31–10DENHome

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Las Vegas Raiders won 1, Kansas City Chiefs won 1.

DateLas Vegas RaidersKansas City ChiefsWinner
Oct 42730Kansas City Chiefs
Jan 41412Las Vegas Raiders

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Las Vegas Raiders
PlayerStatus
Quay Walker LBQUESTIONABLE
Dont'e Thornton Jr. WROUT
Kolton Miller OTQUESTIONABLE
Folorunso Fatukasi DTQUESTIONABLE
Mike Washington Jr. RBQUESTIONABLE
Brock Bowers TEQUESTIONABLE
Tonka Hemingway DTQUESTIONABLE
Carter Runyon TEOUT
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerStatus
Josh Simmons OTOUT
Travis Kelce TEQUESTIONABLE
L'Jarius Sneed CBQUESTIONABLE
Rashee Rice WRQUESTIONABLE
Cooper McDonald LBOUT
Jaylon Moore OTQUESTIONABLE
Tyquan Thornton WROUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chiefs vs Raiders, or as Raiders vs Chiefs. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 October 2026 at Las Vegas. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders head-to-head record

Final scores · 23 meetings on record
Kansas City Chiefs 19–4 across the last 23 meetings · these games average 47.7 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders: the Chiefs won 30-27.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders27–30Kansas City Chiefs
4 Jan 2026Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders14–12Las Vegas Raiders
19 Oct 2025Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs31–0Kansas City Chiefs
29 Nov 2024Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs19–17Kansas City Chiefs
27 Oct 2024Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders20–27Kansas City Chiefs
25 Dec 2023Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs14–20Las Vegas Raiders
26 Nov 2023Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders17–31Kansas City Chiefs
7 Jan 2023Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders13–31Kansas City Chiefs
10 Oct 2022Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs30–29Kansas City Chiefs
12 Dec 2021Las Vegas Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs48–9Kansas City Chiefs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 23 meetings on file.

Playing fantasy? NFL fantasy projections for this week — the same model, scored your way.

Today's selected board

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