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Model picks & player props
NFL
Dallas
Thu 27 Nov 2025, 4:30 PM ET
Kansas City Chiefs
VS
Dallas Cowboys

Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 5 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys and backs Dallas Cowboys hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $254.

5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Dallas Cowboys
to win
Dallas Cowboys Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$25.40Best price+154
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.0%
The price says39.4%

The model graded 5 markets for Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $254 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 27 Nov 2025, 4:30 PM ET at Dallas.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Dallas Cowboys Lean59% chance +154
Spread Members only Lean58% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean57% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys last met on Thu 27 Nov 2025. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Dallas Cowboys
+154
+ 4 more markets
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All 5 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas CowboysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City ChiefsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Kansas City ChiefsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Josh Simmons OTQuestionable
  • Tyquan Thornton WROut
  • Rashee Rice WRQuestionable

Dallas Cowboys

  • Tyler Guyton OTQuestionable
  • CeeDee Lamb WRQuestionable
  • Alijah Clark SQuestionable
  • DeMarvion Overshown LBOut
  • Cobie Durant CBOut
  • James Houston LBOut
  • Camden Brown WROut
  • Ajani Cornelius OTOut
  • Joey Porter Jr. CBOut
  • Drew Shelton OTOut
  • Jonathan Bullard DTOut
  • Jalen Thompson SOut
Availability updated Oct 10, 5:35PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDallas Cowboys to winNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadKansas City Chiefs spreadNo line posted

Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsChiefs @ CowboysNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Kansas City Chiefs game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys — recent results

Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5 games; Kansas City Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5.

Dallas Cowboys — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L16–24TBHome
W34–30HOUAway
L31–34BALHome
W37–20WSHHome
L20–28NYGAway
Kansas City Chiefs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W30–27LVAway
W24–10MIAAway
W33–30INDHome
W31–10DENHome
D9–9SEAHome

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Cowboys
PlayerStatus
Tyler Guyton OTQUESTIONABLE
CeeDee Lamb WRQUESTIONABLE
Alijah Clark SQUESTIONABLE
DeMarvion Overshown LBOUT
Cobie Durant CBOUT
James Houston LBOUT
Camden Brown WROUT
Ajani Cornelius OTOUT
Kansas City Chiefs
PlayerStatus
Josh Simmons OTQUESTIONABLE
Tyquan Thornton WROUT
Rashee Rice WRQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Chiefs vs Cowboys, or as Cowboys vs Chiefs. The most recent game between them was Thursday 27 November 2025 at Dallas. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Dallas Cowboys 2–1 across the last 3 meetings (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Thu 27 Nov 2025, Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys: the Cowboys won 31-28.

DateGameScoreWinner
27 Nov 2025Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys31–28Dallas Cowboys
21 Nov 2021Dallas Cowboys @ Kansas City Chiefs19–9Kansas City Chiefs
5 Nov 2017Kansas City Chiefs @ Dallas Cowboys28–17Dallas Cowboys

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Today's selected board

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