Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bruce Reville is Under 12.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 56%, edge +12.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 26, 3:54AM UTC
AFL
Bruce Reville
Brisbane Lions
Latest Model Pick
Disposals
Under 12.5
-127 (1.79) · $100→$179
+12.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions
@
Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
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How often this wins
68 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 68.3% · the book's price implies 55.9% · gap +12.4%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Disposals | 68.3% | — | 55.9% | 1.46 | +12.4% |
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Bruce Reville (Brisbane Lions) Under 12.5 Disposals (-127)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Bruce Reville is likely to fall under 12.5 disposals against Geelong Cats due to his recent performance indicators. Despite averaging 10 disposals in his last five away games, his historical matchup against Geelong shows a lower average of only 4.5 disposals. With a solid contested possessions average of 2.2 and a high disposalefficiency of 80.9%, Reville's ability to impact the game efficiently is evident. Considering his recent trends, hitting 6 out of 8 under this line in away games and boasting an overall hit rate of 13 out of 16, the model's prediction of 10.1 disposals aligns well with his current form. The bet on Reville staying under 12.5 disposals presents a favorable opportunity given his consistent performance patterns.
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Season averages (2024)
Bruce Reville averaged 10.8 disposals, 0.3 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 12 games in 2024.
Recent game log
In his most recent game (4 Aug 24 vs St Kilda), Bruce Reville recorded 6 disposals and 1 goals.
| Date | Opp | Disp | Goals | Marks | Tackles |
|---|
| 4 Aug 24 | St Kilda | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul 24 | Sydney Swans | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul 24 | West Coast Eagles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 Jul 24 | Adelaide Crows | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 28 Jun 24 | Melbourne | 18 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 22 Jun 24 | Port Adelaide | 17 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 14 Jun 24 | St Kilda | 13 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| 7 Jun 24 | Western Bulldogs | 13 | 0 | 3 | 5 |
| 26 May 24 | Hawthorn | 10 | 0 | 6 | 2 |
| 18 May 24 | Richmond | 12 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Bruce Reville (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bruce Reville is Under 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.
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