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AFL

Cam Rayner

Brisbane Lions

+9.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -400 (1.25)
+9.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 28 Mar, 1:35AM
Model Probability
89.1%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+9.1%
Predicted Value
1.5 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to putting the ball through the big sticks, Cam Rayner has been on fire lately. In his last five away games, he's been averaging a tidy 1.8 goals per match. Facing off against St Kilda, a team he's historically performed well against with an average of 2 goals in their last five encounters, Rayner seems poised to continue his scoring spree. What's even more impressive is his goal accuracy, sitting at a solid 60.3% in away games. With an excellent average of 3.4 shots at goal, 4.2 inside 50s, and 5.2 score involvements, Rayner is not just getting opportunities; he's capitalizing on them. Plus, with a current 12-game hit streak in away matches and a perfect 8/8 hit rate overall, Rayner's consistency is undeniable. Backing him to snag at least one goal in this matchup feels like a smart bet with a high probability of hitting.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ St Kilda Saints Goals 0.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -526 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Cam Rayner is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints on Saturday 28 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.