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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cam Rayner is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 72%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 20, 10:26AM UTC
AFL

Cam Rayner

Brisbane Lions

Value call

Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) has one live pick today: Goals Over 0.5 that pays $147 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -213 (1.47) · $100→$147
Value call
Brisbane Lions @ Fremantle Dockers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 26 Sep, 4:30AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 25°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.3% · the book's price implies 68.0% · gap +4.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals72.3%68.0%1.38+4.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games10/10

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AI Analysis

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Fremantle Dockers vs Brisbane Lions: Cam Rayner Over 0.5 Goals (-213)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Cam Rayner has been a key player for the Brisbane Lions, and he's been scoring well lately. With Brisbane winning nine of their last ten matches and averaging almost fifty points before half-time, it's clear they're getting good chances to score. Plus, Fremantle has let in a decent number of goals recently, which makes this bet even more appealing. However, both teams are in strong form, and that means it could be a tight game. Still, with the way Cam Rayner has been playing and both teams' ability to rack up points, betting on him to get over half a goal feels like a solid choice. Just remember, there's no guarantee he'll score, but the signs are looking good!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Cam Rayner's lines for Sat 26 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Goals 0.5

Cam Rayner's goals line is 0.5.

Disposals 13.5

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 13.5.

Disposals 12.5

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 12.5.

Disposals 11.5

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 11.5.

Disposals 10.5

Cam Rayner's disposals line is 10.5.

Season averages (2024)

Cam Rayner averaged 15.3 disposals, 1.1 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 27 games in 2024.

15.3
Disposals
1.1
Goals
3.5
Marks
3.1
Tackles

Hit-rate ladder: Disposals

Cam Rayner has cleared 9.5 disposals in 100% of his last 10 games, with the hit rate easing as the line rises.

o9.5100%
o10.5100%
o12.580%
o13.580%
o15.560%
o16.550%
o18.540%
o19.540%
o21.520%
o22.510%
o24.50%
o25.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Cam Rayner is averaging 16.2 disposals per game over his last 5.

16.2
Disp · Overall
0.8
Goals · Overall

Recent game log

In his most recent game (28 Sep 24 vs Sydney Swans), Cam Rayner recorded 16 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
28 Sep 24Sydney Swans16191
21 Sep 24Geelong Cats18255
14 Sep 24GWS GIANTS8004
7 Sep 24Carlton12362
24 Aug 24Essendon18041
17 Aug 24Collingwood15011
10 Aug 24GWS GIANTS17011
4 Aug 24St Kilda22352
27 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS25264
21 Jul 24Sydney Swans20247
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -270 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 11.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Sep 26 Brisbane Lions @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
12 Sep 26 Adelaide Crows @ Brisbane Lions Goals Pending

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About This Player

Cam Rayner (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cam Rayner is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.2% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 26 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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