Deep dive into Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Lakers. Find value betting opportunities. We analyze the top 6 player props available. Check out NBA player props, best prop bets today, player statistics predictions.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
When the Lakers hit the road to face the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but betting on him to surpass 36.5 combined points and assists might be a stretch. Sure, he's been solid lately, averaging 20.8 points and 5.4 assists over his last five games. However, his numbers dip when he plays away, dropping to 21.6 points and just 4.6 assists. The Mavericks' defense has proven tough against him, with Reaves averaging only 13 points and 2.8 assists in their recent away matchups. Given that he's failed to hit the mark in all of his last 10 games against them, targeting the under looks promising. With a hit rate of 13 for 13 on the road, the trend is clear: expect Reaves to struggle against Dallas, making the under on his points plus assists a tantalizing option.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Denver Nuggets take the court against the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but we're leaning toward an intriguing angle: his combined rebounds and assists falling under 24.5. Sure, Jokic is a triple-double machine, but recent home performances reveal a trend. In his last five games at home, he's averaged just 14.6 rebounds and 12.4 assists, combining for around 27. Now, against the Spurs, he typically manages about 12 rebounds and 8.8 assists, which brings him closer to 21.6 total. While he's a phenomenal player, with a hit rate of just 6 out of 11 at home, it seems the magic number of 24.5 could be a stretch this time. Plus, the Spurs' defense has been more effective lately, making this a prime opportunity to capitalize on a relatively conservative projection for Jokic.
Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 41.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Lakers gear up to take on the Mavericks, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but betting on him to hit the over on 41.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists could be a stretch. Reaves has been solid lately, averaging 20.8 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists over his last five games. However, when hitting the road, those numbers dip-he only notched 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds per game, and his assists fell to 4.6. Against the Mavericks, his recent away performance paints an even less rosy picture, with averages of just 13 points and 3.4 rebounds. The Mavericks are known for their defensive schemes, which can stifle even the most skilled players. With a hit rate of 10/10 overall and 13/13 away, the odds suggest Reaves may struggle to reach that lofty 41.5 mark in Dallas
Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 28.5 Points (-102)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Lakers head to Dallas, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but I see value in betting the under on his points total of 28.5. While Reaves has shown impressive scoring ability, averaging 20.8 points in his last five games, his away performances against tough defenses like the Mavericks have been telling. Notably, he's averaged just 13 points in his last encounters in Dallas. With the Mavericks known for a stingy defense, particularly against perimeter shooters, I expect Reaves to struggle to find his rhythm. Plus, he's hit the under in all 13 of his last away games, a trend that's hard to ignore. With an expected stat value of around 21 points, betting the under feels like a smart play as we anticipate a more muted offensive outing for Reaves in this challenging road match-up.
Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Lakers head to Dallas, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but backing him for more than 34.5 combined points and rebounds seems like a stretch. Sure, he's been productive lately, averaging about 20.8 points and 4.4 rebounds over his last five games. However, away from home, those numbers dip slightly to 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. The Mavericks have a knack for tightening up against opponents, and Reaves has struggled in previous matchups, averaging just 13 points and 3.4 rebounds when playing in Dallas. With an overall hit rate of 10 for 10 recently, it's tempting to think he'll keep that up, but the road tends to be less forgiving. Considering his expected stat value hovers around 25.1, placing the under looks like a smart play in this matchup. Expect Reaves to fall short of that 34.5 mark in what could be a gritty contest
Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Denver Nuggets prepare to host the San Antonio Spurs, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, particularly when it comes to his assist numbers. While the reigning MVP has dazzled with an average of 13.6 assists over his last five games, a closer look reveals a trend worth noting: at home, his average dips to 12.4. Against the Spurs, who have historically struggled to contain him, Jokic's assist average at home is even lower, clocking in at just 8.8. With the Spurs focusing on shutting down the paint and forcing Jokic to kick the ball out, it's plausible to see him finish below the 10.5 mark. The Nuggets' offensive dynamics might lead to fewer assists as he opts to score himself rather than distribute. With an expected stat value of 8.97, taking the under on Jokic's assists feels like a savvy play in this matchup.
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