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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Reaves is Under 36.5 on Points + Assists.
On Points + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 95%, implied 56%, edge +39.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 6:19PM UTC
NBA

Austin Reaves

Los Angeles Lakers

+39.8% Edge
🔥 10 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Asts Under 36.5 -125 (1.80) · $100→$180
+39.8% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
25.8 Pts + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 95.4% · the book's price implies 55.6% · gap +39.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Asts95.4%55.6%1.05+39.8%

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AI Analysis

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Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 36.5 Points + Assists (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers head into Dallas, all eyes will be on Austin Reaves, but this matchup presents challenges that suggest he might struggle to reach 36.5 combined points and assists. Averaging 20.8 points and 5.4 assists over his last five games, Reaves has been solid but not explosive. When he hits the road, those stats dip slightly, with averages of 21.6 points and 4.6 assists. Against the Mavericks, he's only managed 21 points per game lately, and in Dallas, that number drops to 13. His assist numbers also take a hit, averaging just 2.8. With a perfect hit rate of 10/10 recently but a tough away stretch, it seems wise to lean into the Under here. Expect the Mavericks to tighten up defensively, making it harder for Reaves to break through. This game could see him fall short of that lofty total, making the Under a tempting play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Austin Reaves — 2024-25 season averages

Over 78 games in the 2024-25 season, Austin Reaves averaged 19.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists in 35.2 minutes per game, shooting 45.7% from the field and 37.2% from three-point range.

19.9
PPG
4.6
RPG
5.6
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
35.2
MPG
45.7%
FG%
37.2%
3P%

Austin Reaves — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Austin Reaves has played 39.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

39.4
MPG (L5)
16.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Austin Reaves — home vs away scoring

At home Austin Reaves averages 20.1 points per game; on the road, 19.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

20.1
PPG at home
19.8
PPG on the road

Austin Reaves — scoring by opponent

Austin Reaves scores most against the DEN, averaging 18.5 points per game in that matchup.

18.5
DEN
17.2
PHX
16.7
MEM
15.8
SA
15.6
GS
15.3
SAC

Austin Reaves — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Austin Reaves has averaged 18.9 points, 4.8 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
30 Aprvs MIN411252
27 Apr@ MIN351774
25 Apr@ MIN412074
22 Aprvs MIN431655
19 Aprvs MIN371633
11 Aprvs HOU332376
9 Apr@ DAL381144
8 Apr@ OKC382455
6 Apr@ OKC342023
4 Aprvs NO363037
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Austin Reaves is currently on a 10-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Austin Reaves is Under 36.5 on Points + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +39.8% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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