Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Reaves is Under 34.5 on Pts + Rebs.
On the Pts + Rebs market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +36.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 1:05PM UTC
NBA

Austin Reaves

Los Angeles Lakers

+36.7% Edge
🔥 10 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 34.5 -125 (1.80)
+36.7% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 11:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
92.2%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+36.7%
Predicted Value
24.7 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs92.2%—55.6%1.08+36.7%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Mavericks, Austin Reaves finds himself under the spotlight for a points and rebounds prop bet that seems ripe for the under. Despite his impressive averages of 20.8 points and 4.4 rebounds over the last five games, when you scrutinize his away performances, the numbers tell a different story. He's averaging just 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds on the road, and when matched against Dallas, his numbers dip dramatically; he's only managed 13 points and 3.4 rebounds in their last away encounter. With a perfect record of hitting the under in his last 13 away games, it's clear that Reaves struggles to shine outside of the comfort of home. Given the Mavericks' defensive prowess, betting the under on Reaves at 34.5 looks not only wise but backed by solid data.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
3.3avg · last 10
L53.0Szn2.8Home2.7Away2.8Best9
1+94%
2+76%
3+54%
4+32%
5+13%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.3 · hi 6 · lo 0
6441330552

Austin Reaves is averaging 3.3 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.8, best 9). He clears 3+ in 54% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
4.3avg · last 10
L53.6Szn5.6Home5.7Away5.6Best16
2+96%
4+73%
6+49%
8+22%
10+12%
Game log vs O 5.5avg 4.3 · hi 7 · lo 2
7354635442

Austin Reaves is averaging 4.3 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 5.6, best 16). He clears 6+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
18.9avg · last 10
L516.2Szn19.9Home20.1Away19.8Best45
10+94%
15+78%
20+47%
25+24%
30+13%
Game log vs O 19.5avg 18.9 · hi 30 · lo 11
30202411231616201712

Austin Reaves is averaging 18.9 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 19.9, best 45). He clears 20+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
23.2avg · last 10
L519.8Szn25.6Home25.8Away25.3Best52
16+86%
21+76%
26+50%
31+23%
36+13%
Game log vs O 25.5avg 23.2 · hi 37 · lo 14
37232915291921242114

Austin Reaves is averaging 23.2 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 25.6, best 52). He clears 26+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
23.7avg · last 10
L521.6Szn24.5Home24.8Away24.3Best52
15+92%
20+73%
25+44%
30+26%
35+12%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 23.7 · hi 33 · lo 15
33222915301921272417

Austin Reaves is averaging 23.7 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.5, best 52). He clears 25+ in 44% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
28.0avg · last 10
L525.2Szn30.1Home30.4Away29.8Best59
20+85%
25+77%
30+50%
35+27%
40+14%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 28 · hi 40 · lo 19
40253419362226312819

Austin Reaves is averaging 28.0 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 30.1, best 59). He clears 30+ in 50% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
4.8avg · last 10
L55.4Szn4.6Home4.6Away4.5Best16
1+96%
3+76%
5+51%
7+24%
9+5%
Game log vs O 4.5avg 4.8 · hi 7 · lo 2
3254735775

Austin Reaves is averaging 4.8 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 4.6, best 16). He clears 5+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 33.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Austin Reaves is currently on a 10-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Austin Reaves is Under 34.5 on Pts + Rebs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +36.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks