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Austin Reaves

Los Angeles Lakers

+31.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Assists Under 7.5 -152 (1.66)
+31.7% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Sun 5 Apr, 11:30PM
Model Probability
92.0%
Implied Probability
60.2%
Model Edge
+31.7%
Predicted Value
5.0 Assists

AI Analysis

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Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 7.5 Assists (-152)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Los Angeles Lakers hit the road to face the Dallas Mavericks, targeting Austin Reaves for under 7.5 assists feels like a smart play. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, the numbers tell a different story-particularly when he's away from home. Over his last five games, Reaves has averaged just 4.6 assists in away contests, and against the Mavericks specifically, he's been limited to only 2.8 assists per game. With Dallas likely to tighten their defensive schemes, Reaves could struggle to find his usual rhythm. Factor in his overall hit rate of 16 out of 20 for this prop, and the evidence leans heavily toward the under. He may be a talented playmaker, but given the matchup and recent trends, it's hard to see him surpassing that 7.5 mark this time around.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Apr 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Dallas Mavericks Pts + Rebs 33.5 Under -114 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Austin Reaves (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Austin Reaves is Under 7.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +31.7% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks on Sunday 5 April at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.