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The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Giddey is Under 18.5 on Rebs + Asts.
On the Rebs + Asts market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 54%, for a model edge of +21.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Josh Giddey

Chicago Bulls

+21.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 18.5 -119 (1.84)
+21.2% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls
United Center, Chicago, IL · Indoor
Sun 5 Apr, 7:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Giddey (ankle) could benefit from the selections of Caleb Wilson and Dailyn Swain as well as Chicago's acquisition of Nic Claxton (finger) in 2026-27.
updated Jun 24, 6:04PM UTC · 26d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.5%
Implied Probability
54.3%
Model Edge
+21.2%
Predicted Value
16.2 Rebs + Asts

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts75.5%—54.3%1.32+21.2%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Giddey (Chicago Bulls) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-119)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Bulls host the Suns, all eyes will be on Josh Giddey, but betting on him to go under 18.5 combined rebounds and assists makes sense given the circumstances. While Giddey has been impressive lately with averages of 8.2 rebounds and 9.6 assists over his last five games, he's been less dominant at home against this particular opponent. Historically, he averages just 7.8 rebounds and 7.8 assists against the Suns in home matchups, which is slightly concerning for hitting that 18.5 mark. His recent form shows a solid hit rate, going under in three of his last four games, and hitting 15 out of 20 at home overall. With the Bulls looking to tighten up defensively, I wouldn't be surprised if Giddey struggles to replicate his usual numbers in this matchup. Taking the under here feels like a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
9.8avg · last 10
L59.4Szn7.1Home7.6Away6.6Best17
3+97%
5+73%
7+56%
9+31%
11+17%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 9.8 · hi 17 · lo 4
1791141012128114

Josh Giddey is averaging 9.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.1, best 17). He clears 7+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

Double-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
44%double-double rate · 2024-25
L1080%Home49%Away38%
Game log · double-double8 / 10 DD

Josh Giddey posted a double-double in 44% of 2024-25 games (8 of his last 10).

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
19.7avg · last 10
L521.6Szn14.7Home15.1Away14.4Best31
5+97%
10+77%
15+49%
20+24%
25+11%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 19.7 · hi 28 · lo 8
1526258151715232825

Josh Giddey is averaging 19.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.7, best 31). He clears 15+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
29.5avg · last 10
L531.0Szn21.9Home22.8Away20.9Best41
12+89%
17+75%
22+48%
27+30%
32+13%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 29.5 · hi 39 · lo 12
32353612252927313929

Josh Giddey is averaging 29.5 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 21.9, best 41). He clears 22+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
30.6avg · last 10
L534.0Szn22.9Home23.8Away21.8Best44
13+89%
18+66%
23+51%
28+28%
33+17%
Game log vs O 22.5avg 30.6 · hi 44 · lo 16
25333916232434334435

Josh Giddey is averaging 30.6 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.9, best 44). He clears 23+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
40.4avg · last 10
L543.4Szn30.0Home31.5Away28.4Best55
20+86%
25+68%
30+51%
35+31%
40+21%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 40.4 · hi 55 · lo 20
42425020333646415539

Josh Giddey is averaging 40.4 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 30.0, best 55). He clears 30+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
20.7avg · last 10
L521.8Szn15.3Home16.4Away14.0Best31
9+86%
12+72%
15+51%
18+37%
21+15%
Game log vs O 14.5avg 20.7 · hi 31 · lo 12
27162512181931182714

Josh Giddey is averaging 20.7 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.3, best 31). He clears 15+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Steals2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
1.7avg · last 10
L51.2Szn1.2Home1.2Away1.1Best8
1+72%
2+24%
3+13%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.7 · hi 8 · lo 0
8020130120

Josh Giddey is averaging 1.7 steals over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 1.2, best 8). He clears 1+ in 72% of 2024-25 games.

Triple-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
9.9%triple-double rate · 2024-25

Josh Giddey recorded a triple-double in 9.9% of 2024-25 games (18 in the last 293 on record).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Assists 10.5 Under -101 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Rebs + Asts 18.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts 37.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
25 Mar 26 Chicago Bulls @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Josh Giddey (Chicago Bulls) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Josh Giddey is Under 18.5 on Rebs + Asts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.2% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls on Sunday 5 April at United Center, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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