Here are our EPL picks for Saturday 19 September 2026. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) Over 0.5 Shots, priced at +200 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) Over 0.5 Shots (+200)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Coventry City heads to Nottingham Forest, keep an eye on Joel Latibeaudiere for the Over 0.5 shots prop bet. It’s a calculated risk worth taking, especially given the stage and the stakes. Latibeaudiere has been steadily creeping up his away game performance, averaging 0.4 shots on the road recently. While his overall stats don’t jump off the page, this matchup provides a promising opportunity. Nottingham Forest tends to invite pressure, which could open up avenues for Latibeaudiere to exploit. The young defender has a hit rate of 5 out of his last 11 away games, and with Coventry likely needing to attack for points, he could find himself in advanced positions more often than anticipated. In a game where opportunities might flow, betting on him to take just one shot feels like a savvy move.
Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+1000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Coventry City travels to face Nottingham Forest, all eyes should be on Joel Latibeaudiere. While his recent stats might not scream “goal threat,” there's more to this story. Away from home, Latibeaudiere has averaged 0.4 shots per game, and even though that’s modest, it hints at potential for growth, especially against a Forest side that can be vulnerable defensively. What’s intriguing is that the model predicts a slight uptick in his shot accuracy, suggesting that he has a solid shot at landing at least one shot on target. With the odds favoring this possibility and the pressure of the away fixture, Latibeaudiere might just find the opportunity to unleash a strike or two. In a match where every moment counts, betting on him to register over 0.5 shots on target feels like a savvy play with a promising upside.
Joel Latibeaudiere (Coventry City) Over 1.5 Shots (+1500)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Coventry City heads to Nottingham Forest, all eyes should be on Joel Latibeaudiere. While his recent stats might suggest a quiet outing—averaging just 0.4 shots away—there’s more to the story. Nottingham Forest's defense can be vulnerable, especially at home, which might give Latibeaudiere the freedom he needs to push forward. The key here isn’t just his past numbers, but the potential for a surprise breakout. With a model prediction hinting at a 10.1% edge on hitting over 1.5 shots, it’s a tantalizing opportunity. Latibeaudiere is due for a performance, especially when considering how attacking-minded Coventry can be. If he finds himself in the right spots, he could easily eclipse that line. With the unpredictability of the Premier League, this could be the match where he finally breaks through. Let’s take a chance on Latibeaudiere and see if he seizes the moment!
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As Aston Villa gears up to take on Tottenham, all eyes will be on Taylor Harwood-Bellis, a player whose assist potential might just surprise us. While his recent stats—averaging 0.2 assists overall and none away—might seem underwhelming, they don’t tell the full story. Tottenham's high-pressing style can often leave gaps, and with Villa looking to exploit those on the break, Harwood-Bellis could find opportunities to create. His keen eye for a key pass, despite not registering many recently, suggests he’s capable of setting up teammates when the moment arises. The match will likely be a frantic pace, and if Villa can capitalize on any counters, Harwood-Bellis could easily slip in a crucial assist. With the odds favoring this outcome and a potential for a breakthrough performance, targeting him for Over 0.5 assists feels like a savvy play in this matchup.
That is the model's read on today's EPL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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