On Sunday 18 October 2026, Tottenham Hotspur play Crystal Palace in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Crystal Palace Draw No Bet, priced at +235 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace Draw No Bet (+235)
Odds correct at time of publishing As Tottenham Hotspur welcomes Crystal Palace, the recent form suggests a compelling case for backing the visitors in the Draw No Bet market. Spurs have struggled at home, going winless in their last five outings, averaging a mere 0.6 goals scored. Their attacking stats paint a bleak picture, with an xG of 0 and just 3.6 shots on target in recent games, leaving them vulnerable. On the flip side, Crystal Palace has shown a bit more life, netting 1.8 goals per game over their last five, with a solid away performance that includes a recent win against Spurs. Their record against Tottenham is encouraging as well, with Palace winning three of the last five encounters. Given the disparity in momentum and Palace’s ability to score, this bet on Crystal Palace feels like a savvy play in a matchup that could easily swing their way.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace +1.5 Goal Handicap (-263)
Odds correct at time of publishing In this London derby, Crystal Palace seems poised to capitalize on Tottenham's struggles, especially at home. Spurs have managed just two draws and three losses in their last five matches, scoring a mere 0.6 goals per game. Their xG stats tell a similar story, showing a lack of creativity and finishing touch. With Palace's recent form showing two wins and a draw in their last five, they’re averaging 1.8 goals, a sharp contrast to Spurs’ dismal home scoring record of just 0.8. Furthermore, Palace has consistently held their own against Spurs, boasting a solid 3-0-2 record in their last five encounters. With Tottenham's defensive frailties evident—allowing 1.2 goals at home to opponents—backing Crystal Palace at a -1.5 handicap feels like a shrewd play, especially as they look to ride the momentum of their recent successes. This derby is set up for an upset.
That is how our model reads Tottenham Hotspur v Crystal Palace. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.