Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, August 9, 2026

As the Pirates host the Mets, all eyes will be on Jake Mangum, but the smart money might lean towards the under on his hits. While Mangum has shown flashes of talent, he’s been struggling at the plate lately, batting just.220 over the past two weeks. Facing a Pirates pitching staff that's been surprisingly effective, especially at home, could pose a challenge. The Buccos’ rotation has held opponents to a mere.230 batting average at PNC Park, with their bullpen stepping up in high-leverage situations. Moreover, the Mets' lineup has been inconsistent, often unable to sustain offensive momentum. With the odds favoring an under on Mangum’s hits, it’s a bet that feels backed by a compelling narrative. Given the trends and current form, expecting Mangum to stay under 1.5 hits seems like a wise play in this matchup, especially with those odds at play.

A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Total Bases (-164)

As the Pirates host the Mets, all eyes will be on A.J. Ewing, but I’m leaning towards him finishing with under 1.5 total bases. Lately, Ewing has struggled against left-handed pitchers, and with the Mets sending their ace to the mound, he could find himself stifled. New York’s pitching staff has been particularly effective, holding opponents to a meager.220 average over the last month. Ewing’s recent form shows a worrying trend; he’s been swinging and missing more often, notching just a handful of hits in his last several games. The Pirates’ inconsistent offense could also keep him from finding the gaps, especially against a lefty who commands a solid strikeout rate. With Ewing’s recent stats aligning against him, the under looks like a smart play in this matchup, particularly given the Mets’ pitching prowess.

Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

As the Pirates gear up to face the Mets on Sunday, keep a close eye on Nick Gonzales and his hit total. Sure, he’s shown flashes of potential, but recent trends reveal a tougher road ahead. Over his last 10 games, Gonzales has struggled, often finding himself in tough matchups against right-handed pitchers like the Mets' formidable starter, who boasts an impressive strikeout rate. The Mets have been sharp defensively, ranking among the top teams in limiting hits. Combine that with Gonzales’ current batting average that hovers around the Mendoza line against similar pitching, and the scenario starts to paint a clear picture. With the odds pointing towards an underperformance and an implied probability reflecting a strong leaning towards fewer than 1.5 hits, placing your chips on the ‘Under’ for Gonzales seems like a savvy move in this matchup. Expect a quiet day at the plate for the young infielder.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.