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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake Mangum is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 88%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +20.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 29, 4:40AM UTC
MLB

Jake Mangum

MLB

+20.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -204 (1.49)
+20.4% Edge
Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 24 Jul, 10:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
87.5%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+20.4%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits87.5%—67.1%1.14+20.4%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games8/10

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AI Analysis

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Jake Mangum (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-204)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates host the Cubs on July 24, Jake Mangum is set to take the spotlight, and all eyes might be on him to make an impact. However, recent trends suggest that the under on his hits could be the savvy play. Despite showcasing flashes of talent, Mangum has struggled against right-handed pitching, particularly those who can effectively command the strike zone—something Cubs' ace is known for. The Cubs have been on fire lately, showcasing a pitching staff that’s held opponents to a measly .220 batting average over the last two weeks. With the Pirates' lineup grappling with consistency, Mangum’s chances to rack up hits drop significantly, especially as he faces tougher hurlers in clutch situations. Given these factors, betting the under on Mangum's hits feels like a calculated move, considering both his recent performance and the formidable Cubs' pitching.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
0022

Jake Mangum MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
2002

Jake Mangum MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Jake Mangum MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2055%
O 0.560%
O 1.550%

Jake Mangum MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Jake Mangum MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Jake Mangum MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Jul 26 Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -204 ✗ MISS
22 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✗ MISS
22 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -164 ✗ MISS
20 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits — — — Pending
20 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jake Mangum is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake Mangum is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.4% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 24 July at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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