Jake Mangum (TBR) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Pirates host the Tigers, all eyes will be on Jake Mangum, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases seems like a stretch. While he’s shown flashes of promise, recent trends tell a different story. Over the last few weeks, Mangum has struggled to find his rhythm, with an average just below.200 against right-handed pitching.
Facing off against Pittsburgh's effective starter, who has been adept at limiting hard contact and keeping hitters off balance, it’s hard to envision Mangum racking up those extra bases. The Pirates’ bullpen also has solid numbers in high-leverage situations, amplifying the challenge for him to capitalize. With an implied probability of 66.7% for the under, betting on Mangum to stay below 1.5 total bases aligns well with his current form and the matchup dynamics. It’s a smart play in this tightly contested game.