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Model picks & player props
San Francisco Giants
VS
Pittsburgh Pirates

San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 2:32PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
PNC Park, Pittsburgh
Outdoor
Tue 5 Aug 2025, 10:40PM
0
Game markets graded
10
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

San Francisco Giants

  • Daniel Susac CDay-to-day
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Victor Bericoto RFOut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Webb SP

Pittsburgh Pirates

  • Konnor Griffin SSOut
  • Endy Rodriguez CDay-to-day
  • Oneil Cruz CFOut
  • Mitch Keller SPOut
  • Ryan O'Hearn RFOut

Probable pitcher

Jared Jones SP
Availability updated Aug 10, 2:35AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 19 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability19 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Logan Webb SFG Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Andrew Heaney PIT Pitcher - Strikeouts 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Logan Webb SFG Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Robbie Ray SFG Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tommy Pham PIT Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates — what the model found

Our model graded 10 betting markets for San Francisco Giants at Pittsburgh Pirates — 0 on the game itself and 10 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 10 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates — recent results

Pittsburgh Pirates have won 1 of their last 5 games; San Francisco Giants have won 1 of their last 5.

Pittsburgh Pirates — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–11NYMHome
W9–0NYMHome
L4–6NYMHome
L2–5MILAway
L2–4MILAway
San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3DETHome
W5–2DETHome
L0–8DETHome
L4–5TEXAway
L0–6TEXAway

Who’s out or in doubt

19 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Pittsburgh Pirates
PlayerStatus
Konnor Griffin SSOUT
Endy Rodriguez CDAY-TO-DAY
Oneil Cruz CFOUT
Mitch Keller SPOUT
Ryan O'Hearn RFOUT
San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Daniel Susac CDAY-TO-DAY
Marcelo Mayer 2BOUT
Matt Chapman 3BOUT
Victor Bericoto RFOUT
Harrison Bader CFOUT
Joel Peguero RPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Francisco Giants @ Pittsburgh Pirates — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants. Includes analysis on key players like Logan Webb. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants stats and odds.

Logan Webb (SFG) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-455)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Logan Webb for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is backed by his statistical performance. Over his last five games, Webb has an average of 1.4 walks allowed overall and 1.6 when playing away. This trend is consistent even when specifically playing against the Pirates, with an average of 1.5 walks allowed. This suggests a consistent tendency for Webb to allow at least one walk per game. His innings pitched and outs averages further support this, indicating he typically plays long enough in each game for a walk to occur. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his historical performance indicates a strong likelihood of him allowing at least one walk in the upcoming game. Therefore, the Over 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Giants vs Pirates, or as Pirates vs Giants. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 5 August 2025 at PNC Park. The model has generated 10 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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