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Model picks & player props
NCAAF
Thu 12 Nov 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Memphis Tigers
7-2 · 2-2 awayWWLWW
VS
South Florida Bulls
6-3 · 4-1 at homeLLWWL
Our model's predicted score: South Florida Bulls 24.1 – Memphis Tigers 26.4

Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls Prediction & Picks · Thu 12 Nov

Model updated Nov 8, 6:02AM UTC

Our model graded 5 markets for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls and backs South Florida Bulls hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $288.

5
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
South Florida Bulls
to win
South Florida Bulls Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$28.80Best price+188
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win46.6%
The price says30.2%

The model graded 5 markets for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls (NCAAF) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $288 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 12 Nov 2026, 8:00 PM ET.

Thursday 12 November 2026: Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline South Florida Bulls Lean47% chance +188
Spread Members only Lean49% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean48% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Memphis Tigers are the model's favourite to beat South Florida Bulls, with a 55% chance to win. Predicted score: South Florida Bulls 24.1 – Memphis Tigers 26.4. Kick-off Thu 12 Nov, 8:00 PM ET. Best bet: South Florida Bulls at +188.
How they've been scoring this season
Memphis TigersSouth Florida Bulls
Won-lost7-26-3
Points scored per game37.625.9
Points allowed per game23.615.1
On the road / at home2-2 away4-1 at home
Last 5 gamesWWLWWLLWWL
Their games average 51.1 total points this season.
From the 9 Memphis Tigers and 9 South Florida Bulls games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Memphis Tigers about 7 in 10 to win. Now: about 7 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Memphis Tigersabout 7 in 10$1.48 (-208)$1.48 (-208)
Bullsabout 3 in 10$3.10 (+210)$3.20 (+220)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.70 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 11 books we check.

All NCAAF odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Memphis Tigers won 2 straight games up to Saturday 31 October.
  • On Saturday 31 October, Memphis Tigers beat Army Black Knights 49-22 at home. On Friday, South Florida Bulls lost 20-17 on the road to East Carolina Pirates.
  • Home teams won 224 of the 363 college football games in our 2026 study, about 6 in 10. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
South Florida Bulls
+ 4 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
South Florida BullsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
South Florida BullsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
South Florida BullsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from South Florida Bulls on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward South Florida Bulls
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Memphis Tigers

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

South Florida Bulls

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and no players are currently listed out or questionable.
FactorThis fixture
AvailabilityNone currently listed out or questionable

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

The preview

Written 9 Nov

South Florida Bulls vs Memphis Tigers Prediction & Picks

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls play Memphis Tigers in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 48.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 48.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 48.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 48.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

South Florida Bulls +6.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is South Florida Bulls 6.5 Point Spread. On this line South Florida Bulls start with 6.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

South Florida Bulls to Win (+210)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is South Florida Bulls Moneyline. This one only needs South Florida Bulls to win the game. It was priced at +230 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $33 if it lands. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +210 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $31 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads South Florida Bulls v Memphis Tigers. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls — 5 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls — where the money went

Since betting opened on Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls, the market has moved away from South Florida Bulls across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — South Florida Bulls▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Memphis Tigers▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Over 49.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 49.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Memphis Tigers -7.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — South Florida Bulls 7.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — South Florida Bulls 7▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Memphis Tigers -7▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

Memphis Tigers @ South Florida Bulls — model preview

South Florida Bulls v Memphis Tigers, 13 November 2026. Top of the list: Over 48.5 Total Points. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls play Memphis Tigers in college football. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 48.5 Total Points, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 48.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Friday 13 November 2026, South Florida Bulls host Memphis Tigers in college football. The bet we are looking at is Over 48.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 48.5 points between them. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. That price was showing at FanDuel. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.09 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
Unlock the full write-up
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls in the NCAAF. You may also see this matchup written as Tigers vs Bulls, or as Bulls vs Tigers. The next scheduled game is Thursday 12 November 2026. The model has generated 5 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAF betting strategy for this matchup.

Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Memphis Tigers play South Florida Bulls on Thursday 12 November 2026. Kick-off is 8:00 PM ET. It is a college football game.

Memphis Tigers: last 5 results

  1. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs Army Black Knights 49-22
  2. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs East Carolina Pirates 41-34
  3. 16 Oct 2026Lostat Tulane Green Wave 17-31
  4. 10 Oct 2026Wonvs UAB Blazers 38-13
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonat Charlotte 49ers 59-8

South Florida Bulls: last 5 results

  1. 6 Nov 2026Lostat East Carolina Pirates 17-20
  2. 31 Oct 2026Wonvs UAB Blazers 30-10
  3. 17 Oct 2026Wonvs Kent State Golden Flashes 29-2
  4. 8 Oct 2026Lostat UTSA Roadrunners 24-31
  5. 3 Oct 2026Lostvs Temple Owls 13-17

Quick answers

When is Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls? Memphis Tigers vs South Florida Bulls is on Thursday 12 November 2026. Kick-off is 8:00 PM ET.

How have Memphis Tigers and South Florida Bulls done lately? Memphis Tigers won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. South Florida Bulls won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

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