Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bryan Reynolds is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +7.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 17, 7:08PM UTC
MLB

Bryan Reynolds

PIT

+7.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -172 (1.58)
+7.7% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio · Outdoor
Fri 17 Jul, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
71.0%
Implied Probability
63.3%
Model Edge
+7.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases71.0%—63.3%1.41+7.7%

See every market's calibrated edge

Unlock the full calibrated-probability grid across every market for this player — model vs calibrated vs fair value.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
Cancel anytime

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

See the full 20-game form curve

Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Bryan Reynolds (PIT) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Guardians host the Pirates, all eyes will be on Bryan Reynolds, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases looks risky. Sure, Reynolds has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but the Guardians’ pitching staff has been nothing short of formidable, especially at home. They’ve kept opponents at bay with a stingy 3.50 ERA, making it tough for hitters to find their rhythm. Consider Reynolds’ recent struggles against right-handed pitchers, which Cleveland’s starter fits the bill. He’s hitting a mere .230 in those matchups lately, and with the Guardians’ defense backing up their stellar pitching, chances are slim he’ll find many gaps. With an implied probability hovering around 63%, betting the under seems like a savvy play today. Let’s not forget, in this matchup, the Guardians can stifle even the hottest bats, and Reynolds might just find himself muted against this tough lineup.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 4(100%)

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs CLEU 1.5 -172+7.7% edge
67%hit L10

Bryan Reynolds MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 67% of the last 10 games vs CLE. Current line U 1.5 at -172 (+7.7% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak3
O 0.5100%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 2 · lo 1
112

Bryan Reynolds MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Bryan Reynolds MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak3
O 0.5100%
O 1.567%
O 2.567%
O 3.533%
O 4.533%

Bryan Reynolds MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.533%

Bryan Reynolds MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
Streak2
O 0.567%
O 1.533%

Bryan Reynolds MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
67%hit L10
O 0.567%

Bryan Reynolds MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 67% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -233 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
23 Jun 26 Seattle Mariners @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -270 ✓ HIT
12 Jun 26 Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Bryan Reynolds (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Bryan Reynolds is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.7% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cleveland Guardians on Friday 17 July at Progressive Field, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.