On August 9, 2026 our model has run New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 RBIs (-303), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 RBIs (-303)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Gonzales Under 0.5 RBIs (-303). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -303 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Under 0.5 Singles (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Under 0.5 Singles (-200). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Singles (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Singles (-196). That is a Singles bet. It was priced at -196 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets: Pittsburgh Pirates Win (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets: Pittsburgh Pirates Win (-120). That is a h2h bet. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.33 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-125)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets: Over 0.5 totals 1st 1 innings (-125). That is a totals 1st 1 innings bet. It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets: Over 9.5 Total Runs (+114). That is a alternate totals bet. It was priced at +114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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