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Model picks & player props
NFL
Denver
Sun 25 Jan 2026, 3:00 PM ET
New England Patriots
VS
Denver Broncos

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 3 markets for New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos and backs Denver Broncos 3.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $198.

3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Denver Broncos
with a 3.5-point head start
Denver Broncos 3.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$19.80Best price-102
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.4%
The price says50.5%

The model graded 3 markets for New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $198 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 25 Jan 2026, 3:00 PM ET at Denver.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Denver Broncos 3.5 High66% chance -102
Spread Members only High66% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

New England Patriots and Denver Broncos last met on Sun 25 Jan 2026: New England Patriots won 10-7. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Denver Broncos
+3.5
-102
+ 2 more markets
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All 3 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Denver BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New England Patriots

  • Charles Woods CBQuestionable
  • Karon Prunty CBOut
  • Channing Canada CBOut
  • Craig Woodson SQuestionable
  • Dre'Mont Jones DEQuestionable
  • Christian Elliss LBQuestionable
  • Christian Barmore DTQuestionable
  • Reggie Gilliam FBOut
  • Christian Gonzalez CBOut
  • Carlton Davis III CBOut
  • Rhamondre Stevenson RBQuestionable
  • Mack Hollins WROut
  • Morgan Moses OTQuestionable
  • A.J. Brown WROut

Denver Broncos

  • Riley Moss CBOut
  • Pat Surtain II CBOut
  • Pat Bryant WROut
  • Jonah Coleman RBOut
Availability updated Oct 10, 4:16PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDenver Broncos to winNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDenver Broncos spreadNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPatriots @ BroncosNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos — recent results

Denver Broncos have won 3 of their last 5 games; New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5.

Denver Broncos — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L14–24SFAway
W30–26LARHome
W20–13JAXHome
L10–31KCAway
W34–6MINHome
New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W29–26BUFAway
L6–35JAXAway
W20–3PITHome
L10–13SEAAway
L13–37CLEAway

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Denver Broncos won 0, New England Patriots won 1.

DateDenver BroncosNew England PatriotsWinner
Jan 25710New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Denver Broncos
PlayerStatus
Riley Moss CBOUT
Pat Surtain II CBOUT
Pat Bryant WROUT
Jonah Coleman RBOUT
New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Charles Woods CBQUESTIONABLE
Karon Prunty CBOUT
Channing Canada CBOUT
Craig Woodson SQUESTIONABLE
Dre'Mont Jones DEQUESTIONABLE
Christian Elliss LBQUESTIONABLE
Christian Barmore DTQUESTIONABLE
Reggie Gilliam FBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Patriots vs Broncos, or as Broncos vs Patriots. The most recent game between them was Sunday 25 January 2026 at Denver. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos head-to-head record

Final scores · 7 meetings on record
New England Patriots 4–3 across the last 7 meetings · these games average 37.7 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 25 Jan 2026, New England Patriots at Denver Broncos: the Patriots won 10-7.

DateGameScoreWinner
25 Jan 2026New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos7–10New England Patriots
24 Dec 2023New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos23–26New England Patriots
18 Oct 2020Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots12–18Denver Broncos
12 Nov 2017New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos16–41New England Patriots
18 Dec 2016New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos3–16New England Patriots
24 Jan 2016New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos20–18Denver Broncos
29 Nov 2015New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos30–24Denver Broncos

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