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Model picks & player props
New England Patriots
VS
Denver Broncos

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 2:49AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Denver
Sun 25 Jan 2026, 8:00PM
12
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Denver Broncos 3.5 Spread -104

The model graded 12 markets for New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 25 Jan 2026, 8:00PM at Denver.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.4%
The price says51.0%
Best price-104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Denver Broncos 3.5 High66% chance -104
Spread High66% chance —
Spread High66% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Denver Broncos 3.5 · $100 returned $196

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Denver Broncos
+5.5
-115
+ 11 more markets
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All 12 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Denver BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denver BroncosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New England Patriots

  • Brenden Schooler SOut
  • Harold Landry III LBOut
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • Bryce Baringer PQuestionable
  • Marcus Bryant OTQuestionable
  • Myles Montgomery RBOut
  • Ben Brown CQuestionable

Denver Broncos

  • Jonathon Cooper LBOut
  • Marvin Mims Jr. WRQuestionable
  • Reese Taylor CBQuestionable
  • Riley Moss CBQuestionable
  • Levelle Bailey LBOut
  • Luke Wattenberg CQuestionable
  • Matt Henningsen DEOut
  • Michael Deiter COut
  • Caleb Lohner TEQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:59PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDenver Broncos to winNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDenver Broncos spreadNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPatriots @ BroncosNo line posted

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos — what the model found

Our model graded 12 betting markets for New England Patriots at Denver Broncos — 12 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 12 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 11 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos — recent results

Denver Broncos have won 3 of their last 5 games; New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5.

Denver Broncos — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W34–6MINHome
L13–33GBHome
W27–7ATLAway
L7–10NEHome
W33–30BUFHome
New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–37CLEAway
W24–21PHIHome
D13–13INDHome
L13–29SEAHome
W10–7DENAway

New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Denver Broncos won 0, New England Patriots won 1.

DateDenver BroncosNew England PatriotsWinner
Jan 25710New England Patriots

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Denver Broncos
PlayerStatus
Jonathon Cooper LBOUT
Marvin Mims Jr. WRQUESTIONABLE
Reese Taylor CBQUESTIONABLE
Riley Moss CBQUESTIONABLE
Levelle Bailey LBOUT
Luke Wattenberg CQUESTIONABLE
Matt Henningsen DEOUT
Michael Deiter COUT
New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Brenden Schooler SOUT
Harold Landry III LBOUT
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
Bryce Baringer PQUESTIONABLE
Marcus Bryant OTQUESTIONABLE
Myles Montgomery RBOUT
Ben Brown CQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
25 Jan 26 Spread Denver Broncos +5.5 ✓ HIT
25 Jan 26 Spread Denver Broncos +4.5 ✓ HIT
25 Jan 26 Spread Denver Broncos +3.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Patriots vs Broncos, or as Broncos vs Patriots. The most recent game between them was Sunday 25 January 2026 at Denver. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 7 meetings on record
New England Patriots 4–3 across the last 7 meetings · these games average 37.7 points (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Jan 2026New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos7–10New England Patriots
24 Dec 2023New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos23–26New England Patriots
18 Oct 2020Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots12–18Denver Broncos
12 Nov 2017New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos16–41New England Patriots
18 Dec 2016New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos3–16New England Patriots
24 Jan 2016New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos20–18Denver Broncos
29 Nov 2015New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos30–24Denver Broncos
Today's selected board

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