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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Washington Nationals

Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 23, 11:03PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Nationals Park, Washington
Outdoor
Mon 24 Aug 2026, 10:45PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Washington Nationals -1.5 Spread +116

The model graded 6 markets for Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $216 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 24 Aug 2026, 10:45PM at Nationals Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win45.6%
The price says46.3%
Best price+116
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Washington Nationals -1.5 Lean46% chance +116
Moneyline Lean58% chance
Total Runs Lean45% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 877 of 1,754 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 22
Under 5.5
Detroit Tigers @ Kansas City Royals
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $365
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Washington Nationals
-1.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Kyle Freeland SPDay-to-day
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Hunter Goodman COut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP

Washington Nationals

  • CJ Abrams SSDay-to-day
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut
  • James Wood RFOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jackson Kent SP
Availability updated Aug 23, 7:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

3 markets live
Run LineWashington Nationals run line-1.5 +116
+2.1proj. margin
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Washington Nationals spread vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 46% (LONG-SHOT); proj. margin +2.1.

MoneylineWashington Nationals to win-189
58%model win %
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Washington Nationals moneyline vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 58% (LEAN); L5 record 1-4.

Total RunsGame total · Washington Nationals vs Colorado RockiesOver 8 -122
8.8proj. runs
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Washington Nationals total runs vs Colorado Rockies is live and our model makes it 45% (LONG-SHOT); proj. runs 8.8.

Team Total RunsWashington Nationals team totalNo line posted
3.2runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA1.4Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L54-1

Washington Nationals team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.8 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals — recent results

Washington Nationals have won 1 of their last 5 games; Colorado Rockies have won 0 of their last 5.

Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–4MIAAway
L0–2TEXAway
L2–3MIAAway
W6–0TEXAway
L0–5TEXAway
Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4CLEHome
L1–9CLEHome
L4–6LADHome
L6–7LADHome
L5–11LADHome

Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Washington Nationals won 2, Colorado Rockies won 1.

DateWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWinner
Jul 2280Washington Nationals
Jul 2278Colorado Rockies
Jul 2173Washington Nationals

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
CJ Abrams SSDAY-TO-DAY
Connelly Early SPOUT
DJ Herz SPOUT
Josiah Gray SPOUT
James Wood RFOUT
Drew Millas COUT
Richard Lovelady RPOUT
PJ Poulin RPOUT
Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Kyle Freeland SPDAY-TO-DAY
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Hunter Goodman COUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals — model preview

Our Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals prediction for August 24, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 24, 2026 our model has run Colorado Rockies at Washington Nationals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies: Washington Nationals Win (-189), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 3 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rockies vs Nationals, or as Nationals vs Rockies. The next scheduled game is Monday 24 August 2026 at Nationals Park. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Washington Nationals 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
22 Jul 2026Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies8–7Colorado Rockies
22 Jul 2026Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies0–8Washington Nationals
21 Jul 2026Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies3–7Washington Nationals
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