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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Washington Nationals

Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 22, 12:55PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Nationals Park, Washington
Outdoor
Mon 16 Jun 2025, 10:45PM
0
Game Picks
15
Player Props
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Michael Lorenzen SP

Washington Nationals

  • Trevor Williams SPOut
  • Jake Irvin SPOut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • Brad Lord RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut

Probable pitcher

Carson Palmquist SP
Availability updated Jul 22, 5:55AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jake Irvin WSN Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Luis Garcia Jr. WSN Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Tyler Freeman COL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
CJ Abrams WSN Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
German Marquez COL Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineWashington NationalsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.0L5 RA3.2Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L53-2Win rec6-11

Washington Nationals moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.0 runs/gm.

Run LineWashington Nationals run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.0L5 RA3.2Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L53-2ATS6-10

Washington Nationals spread form: last five 4-1, 4.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Washington Nationals vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Washington Nationals total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsWashington Nationals team totalNo line posted
3.2implied team total
L5 RF4.0L5 RA3.2Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

Washington Nationals team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Washington Nationals playing Colorado Rockies. Includes analysis on key players like Brenton Doyle. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.</p>

Brenton Doyle (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Brenton Doyle for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. In his last five games, Doyle's stolen base average is 0.2, and when playing away games, his stolen base average drops to 0. This indicates a lower tendency to steal bases, especially in away games. Additionally, when playing against the Washington Nationals, his stolen base average is zero, suggesting that their defense effectively curbs his stealing attempts. Furthermore, there have been no instances of Doyle being caught stealing in the last five games, both overall and away, which may indicate a cautious approach to stealing bases. Despite his current hit streaks, his stealing base stats remain low, indicating that his hits do not often translate into stolen bases. Therefore, the bet for Under 0.5 is a statistically sound choice.

Trevor Williams (WSN) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Williams to allow over 0.5 walks is a strong choice based on his recent performance. Williams has an overall average of 1.6 walks allowed per game, which is more than the line of 0.5. Even when playing at home, his average walks allowed is 0.8, still above the line. Despite his streak of no walks against the Rockies, his overall and home hit streaks suggest a high likelihood of allowing hits, which increases the chance of walks. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages indicate he's on the mound long enough in each game to give up at least one walk. Therefore, the statistical data supports the bet of Williams allowing over 0.5 walks in the game.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 16 June 2025 at Nationals Park. The model has generated 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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