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The latest Bet Better model pick for Daylen Lile is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 75%, versus the book's implied 59%, for a model edge of +15.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 20, 3:37AM UTC
MLB

Daylen Lile

MLB

+15.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -145 (1.69)
+15.8% Edge
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sun 12 Jul, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
75.0%
Implied Probability
59.2%
Model Edge
+15.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases75.0%—59.2%1.33+15.8%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Daylen Lile (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nationals host the Yankees on July 12, all eyes will be on Daylen Lile, who’s had a promising start but faces a formidable challenge today. Lile has shown flashes of brilliance, yet he’ll be stepping into the box against Gerrit Cole, a pitcher notorious for his strikeout ability and command. Cole's ability to dominate hitters makes it tough for anyone to rack up total bases, especially against a lineup like the Yankees, who excel in limiting scoring opportunities. Recent trends also lean against Lile, as he’s struggled to find his rhythm against right-handers, hitting just .220 in his last ten games. With the wind blowing in and Cole expected to keep runners off base, it’s hard to envision Lile surpassing that 1.5 total bases mark today. Taking the under feels like a prudent play given the matchup dynamics, particularly with such a low model prediction backing it up.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2055%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
300

Daylen Lile MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
O 1.550%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
030

Daylen Lile MLB total bases: cleared over 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Daylen Lile MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.510%

Daylen Lile MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -145 ✗ MISS
10 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits 0.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
10 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
08 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
06 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Daylen Lile is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Daylen Lile is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.8% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 12 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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