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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dylan Crews is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +17.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 28, 6:47PM UTC
MLB

Dylan Crews

MLB

+17.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -167 (1.60)
+17.1% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 8:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.6%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+17.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases79.6%—62.5%1.26+17.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Dylan Crews (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nationals prepare to face the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Dylan Crews, but the sharp money might want to consider betting the under on his total bases. Despite his impressive tools, Crews has struggled recently against right-handed pitching, particularly in clutch situations. The D-backs' starter has been on fire, boasting a solid ERA and a penchant for inducing ground balls, which could stifle Crews' power potential. Moreover, Washington’s lineup has been inconsistent, often failing to generate enough traffic on the bases to support individual performances. With Crews averaging around 0.82 total bases in similar matchups, it’s hard to envision him breaking through the 1.5 mark here. The combination of a tough pitching matchup and the Nationals' hit-or-miss offense sets the stage for a quiet night for Crews. Therefore, siding with the under seems like the savvy play as the game unfolds.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak3L2050%
O 0.550%

Dylan Crews MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 1.4 · hi 5 · lo 0
10150

Dylan Crews MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Dylan Crews MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak5L2065%
O 0.560%
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.520%

Dylan Crews MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.520%

Dylan Crews MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
O 0.560%
O 1.520%

Dylan Crews MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%

Dylan Crews MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.560%
O 1.520%

Dylan Crews MLB strikeouts: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -189 ✓ HIT
08 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dylan Crews is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dylan Crews is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.1% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals on Saturday 25 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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