Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Abimelec Ortiz is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On Batter - Doubles, our numbers say this bet wins about 82 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 82%, implied 86%, edge -1.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 3 of the last 3
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Aug 29, 1:28AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles
Under 0.5
-625 (1.16) · $100→$116
-1.1% Edge
Colorado Rockies
@
Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Thu 27 Aug, 5:05PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 934 of 1,946 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
85 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 85.1% · the book's price implies 86.2% · gap -1.1%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Doubles | 85.1% | 81.9% | 86.2% | 1.25 | -1.1% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/3 |
| Last 10 games | 2/3 |
See his full recent form
Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Doubles (-625)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Washington Nationals play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Abimelec Ortiz Under 0.5 Doubles (-625). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -625 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Abimelec Ortiz has gone over 1.5 total bases in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o1.533%
o2.533%
o3.533%
o4.50%
Abimelec Ortiz is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Abimelec Ortiz is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a slight edge of -1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals on Thursday 27 August at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.