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Andrés Chaparro

WSN

Value call

Andrés Chaparro has one live pick today: over 0.5 walks that pays $337 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
0.4 walks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 26.4% · before adjusting for past results 31.8% · the book's price implies 29.7% · gap -3.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
New York Mets @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia · Outdoor
Sun 27 Sep, 3:05 PM ET
Andrés Chaparro
over 0.5 walks
Batter - Walks Over 0.5 +237 (3.37) · $100→$337
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 26 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$33.70 Odds+237
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrés Chaparro is Over 0.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 26 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 26%, the price says 30%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 8:43AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Walks31.8%26.4%29.7%3.71+2.1%

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AI Analysis

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Washington Nationals vs New York Mets: Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Batter - Walks (+237)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

For this bet to work, Andres Chaparro needs to draw at least one walk in the game against the New York Mets. The Washington Nationals have been on a roll lately, winning 7 out of their last 10 games. Chaparro has been in decent form, and the wind blowing out toward the outfield tonight favors hitters like him, which increases the chances of getting on base. The Mets' starting pitcher has been giving up runs at a bit higher rate than average, which could lead to some trouble for him tonight. While the Nationals are playing well, the Mets have also picked up some wins recently, so this could be a close matchup. Still, Chaparro has a real shot at getting that walk, and the odds are pretty good.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many home runs does Andrés Chaparro hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Washington Nationals @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -169 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Walks — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits — — — Pending
25 Sep 26 New York Mets @ Washington Nationals Batter - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrés Chaparro (WSN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrés Chaparro is Over 0.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 27 September at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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