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Model picks & player props
Chicago Cubs
VS
Washington Nationals

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 10:18AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Nationals Park, Washington
Outdoor
Thu 13 Aug 2026, 8:05PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
67.5%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Washington Nationals Moneyline +131

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $231 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 67.5% across 40 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 13 Aug 2026, 8:05PM at Nationals Park.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win48.0%
The price says42.4%
Best price+131
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Washington Nationals Lean48% chance +131
Spread Long-shot23% chance
Spread Long-shot28% chance
Spread Long-shot19% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean51% chance
Spread Long-shot13% chance
Spread High62% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 82%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 6 props Highup to 86%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 85%
Batter - Total Bases × 7 props Highup to 86%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 83%
Batter - Runs Scored × 5 props Highup to 81%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Washington Nationals · $100 returned $225

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Washington Nationals
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,430+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Washington NationalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Washington NationalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Cubs

  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Pedro Ramirez 2BDay-to-day
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Gavin Hollowell RPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Dansby Swanson SSOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Clay Holmes SP

Washington Nationals

  • Richard Lovelady RPOut
  • CJ Abrams SSDay-to-day
  • James Wood RFOut
  • Cade Cavalli SPDay-to-day
  • Connelly Early SPOut
  • Josiah Gray SPOut
  • DJ Herz SPOut
  • Drew Millas COut
  • PJ Poulin RPOut
  • Mitchell Parker RPOut
  • Ken Waldichuk RPOut

Probable pitcher

Will Dion SP
Availability updated Sep 1, 12:51AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 24 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability24 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Cade Cavalli Pitcher - Walks
Michael Busch Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Kevin Gausman TOR Pitcher - Walks
Kevin Gausman TOR Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Cade Cavalli Pitcher - Hits Allowed

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineWashington NationalsNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L55-0vs Chicago Cubs L50-5

Washington Nationals moneyline form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineWashington Nationals run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L55-0vs Chicago Cubs L50-5

Washington Nationals spread form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Washington Nationals vs Chicago CubsNo line posted

Washington Nationals total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsWashington Nationals team totalNo line posted
2.0runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA0.4Home L55-0vs Chicago Cubs L50-5

Washington Nationals team total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.6 runs/gm.

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals — recent results

Washington Nationals have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago Cubs have won 2 of their last 5.

Washington Nationals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–3MIAHome
L2–6MIAHome
W5–4MIAHome
W9–2MIAHome
W7–1COLHome
Chicago Cubs — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W17–3MILHome
L5–7CINHome
W17–5CINHome
L8–10CINHome
L4–5ARIAway

Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Washington Nationals won 3, Chicago Cubs won 3.

DateWashington NationalsChicago CubsWinner
Aug 1370Washington Nationals
Aug 12612Chicago Cubs
Aug 1168Chicago Cubs
Mar 2963Washington Nationals
Mar 28210Chicago Cubs
Mar 26104Washington Nationals

Who’s out or in doubt

24 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Washington Nationals
PlayerStatus
Richard Lovelady RPOUT
CJ Abrams SSDAY-TO-DAY
James Wood RFOUT
Cade Cavalli SPDAY-TO-DAY
Connelly Early SPOUT
Josiah Gray SPOUT
DJ Herz SPOUT
Drew Millas COUT
Chicago Cubs
PlayerStatus
Justin Steele SPOUT
Pedro Ramirez 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Edward Cabrera SPOUT
Ben Brown RPOUT
Phil Maton RPOUT
Gavin Hollowell RPOUT
Riley Martin RPOUT
Hunter Harvey RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals — model preview

Our Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals prediction for August 14, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 14, 2026 our model has run Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Dylan Crews Under 0.5 RBIs (-294), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
40
Total Picks
67.5%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
13 Aug 26 Moneyline Washington Nationals ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Washington Nationals ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals -2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals +1 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals -2 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals +3.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Washington Nationals -1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals +1.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Washington Nationals 2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Washington Nationals 0.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals +3 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals -1 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
13 Aug 26 Spread Washington Nationals +2 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Cubs vs Washington Nationals in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Cubs vs Nationals, or as Nationals vs Cubs. The most recent game between them was Thursday 13 August 2026 at Nationals Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 67.5% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 26 meetings on record
Chicago Cubs 15–11 across the last 26 meetings · these games average 9.7 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals7–0Washington Nationals
12 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals6–12Chicago Cubs
11 Aug 2026Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals6–8Chicago Cubs
29 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs3–6Washington Nationals
28 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs10–2Chicago Cubs
26 Mar 2026Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs4–10Washington Nationals
7 Sep 2025Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs3–6Washington Nationals
6 Sep 2025Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs1–2Washington Nationals
5 Sep 2025Washington Nationals @ Chicago Cubs11–5Chicago Cubs
5 Jun 2025Chicago Cubs @ Washington Nationals1–7Chicago Cubs

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 26 meetings on file.

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