On September 29, 2026 we like 6 MLB player props from 3 games on the card. The one we are most confident in is Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 Hits (-189), a HIGH confidence pick. Each one below is our own number against the price the book is offering, in plain English, with how confident we are in words.

The props we like today

Jesus Luzardo (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-123)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jesus Luzardo (PHI) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-123). That is a Walks Allowed bet. It was priced at -123 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.13 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 Hits (-189)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 Hits (-189). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) Under 0.5 Hits (+192)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Yordan Alvarez (HOU) Under 0.5 Hits (+192). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +192 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $29.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-169)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Houston Astros play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Tristan Peters Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-169). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -169 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.92 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits (+112)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

San Diego Padres play Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Luis Campusano Under 0.5 Hits (+112). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +112 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Atlanta Braves play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Derek Hill (MIA) Under 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-159). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the whole read. Every prop above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article