New York Mets vs Houston Astros Prediction and Picks, August 28, 2026

The Mets have been pretty solid lately, winning six of their last ten games. They've also shown they can handle left-handed pitchers well, hitting about as well as most teams do against them. Playing at Citi Field gives them a nice boost, and they've been close in their recent games, just trailing by an average of 0.2 runs. On the other hand, the Astros are having a rough time, winning only three out of their last ten. They've struggled even more than the Mets, coming in 2.3 runs behind in their last games. This matchup is rated close to a coin flip, but the Mets seem to have the slight advantage at home, even if it could be tight.

New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Over 8.5 Total Runs (+116)

The New York Mets have been playing well lately, winning 6 of their last 10 games. They have been strong against left-handed pitchers, hitting at a level that matches the league average. Meanwhile, the Houston Astros have struggled a bit, winning only 3 of their last 10 games and scoring fewer runs than usual. Both teams have shown they can score, which makes the bet on over 8.5 total runs appealing. The Mets have been averaging just under 5 runs a game lately, while the Astros have underperformed, coming in nearly 2.5 runs behind in their recent games. The combined total from our numbers suggests there should be around 12 runs scored. It's a solid chance for a high-scoring game, but the risk is that the Astros might not break out of their slump.

New York Mets vs Houston Astros: New York Mets 1.5 Spread (-154)

The Mets have been looking pretty solid lately, winning 6 out of their last 10 games. They've been hitting well against left-handed pitchers, putting up a decent number that's close to what the league averages. Playing at Citi Field should give them an extra boost, especially since they've been just a bit behind in their games lately, only by 0.2 runs in their last 12. On the other hand, the Astros have struggled, winning only 3 out of their last 10. Their performance against lefties is similar to the Mets, but they've been falling behind by an average of 2.3 runs in their recent games. With the Mets holding a good chance here and a projected win margin of about 2 runs, taking the Mets at -1.5 seems like a smart move. Just remember, this isn't a sure thing!

New York Mets vs Houston Astros: Brett Baty Over 0.5 Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs (-169)

The Mets are on a bit of a roll, winning 6 out of their last 10 games. Brett Baty has been getting some chances at the plate, and with the Astros struggling against left-handed pitchers lately, this could be a good spot for him. The Astros have only won 3 of their last 10 games, and they've been falling behind by an average of over 2 runs in their recent matchups. Baty just needs to get a hit, score a run, or drive in someone, which seems doable given the circumstances. However, it's worth noting that Baty's performance has been a bit unpredictable lately, with his runs ranging from 0 to 1 in recent games. Still, with the Mets in good form and facing a struggling opponent, I think he can come through today.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.