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The latest Bet Better model pick for Spencer Horwitz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 63 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 63%, implied 65%, edge +17.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 19, 7:46AM UTC
MLB

Spencer Horwitz

PIT

+17.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -182 (1.55) · $100→$155
+17.7% Edge
Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Wed 19 Aug, 4:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 800 of 1,596 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
82 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 82.2% · the book's price implies 64.5% · gap +17.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases82.2%63.0%64.5%1.64+17.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Spencer Horwitz (PIT) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pirates host the Tigers on August 19, all eyes will be on Spencer Horwitz, but betting the under on his total bases could be the way to go. While Horwitz has shown flashes of potential, his recent performance against left-handed pitchers, particularly in tough matchups like the one he faces today, has been underwhelming. The Pirates' pitching staff has been solid, particularly at home, and with a 3.75 ERA against lefties over the last month, they’ve proven hard to crack. Horwitz also faces the daunting challenge of a lefty-righty matchup against a crafty Pirates pitcher who thrives on keeping hitters off balance. Given his current form and the Pirates' ability to stifle opposing bats, expecting Horwitz to go over 1.5 total bases feels risky. Considering all these factors, betting the under seems to align with the odds and recent trends, making it a shrewd play for today's game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Spencer Horwitz has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.538%
o2.538%
o3.50%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -455 ✓ HIT
18 Aug 26 Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -323 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Spencer Horwitz (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Spencer Horwitz is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday 19 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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