Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1250)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Pirates prepare to face off against the Nationals, all eyes should be on Oneil Cruz when it comes to the stolen base market. Despite his speed, recent trends indicate a shift; Cruz has been more selective on the basepaths, swiping just one bag in his last ten games. The Nationals’ pitchers have also been effective at holding runners, allowing only a handful of stolen bases this season.
Cruz’s aggressive style has often led to attempts, but with the Nationals’ catchers boasting a strong arm and the team’s overall focus on limiting base thefts, the under on 0.5 feels like the right play. With an implied probability hovering around 92.6%, this bet is backed by solid metrics and recent performance. It’s a compelling narrative that suggests a quieter day for Cruz in the base-stealing department.