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The latest Bet Better model pick for Oneil Cruz is Over 4.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 34 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 34%, the price says 7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 SOlanded 5 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Under 3.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 23, 1:56AM UTC
MLB

Oneil Cruz

PIT

Value call

Oneil Cruz has one live pick today: Batter - Total Bases Over 4.5 that pays $1,380 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 4.5 +1280 (13.80) · $100→$1,380
Value call
St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Tue 22 Sep, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 188 of 394 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
34 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 34.2% · before adjusting for past results 34.2% · the book's price implies 7.2% · gap +27.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases34.2%34.2%7.2%2.92+26.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis Cardinals: Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Batter - Total Bases (+1280)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Oneil Cruz has been on fire lately, averaging two hits per game in his last three games. He's getting hits at about 1.4 times his usual rate, which shows he's in a good groove. The Pirates are also playing well, having won six of their last ten games, and PNC Park is tough for hitters, with home runs coming in lower than usual. Betting on Cruz to get over 4.5 total bases looks promising because he's been hitting well against teams like the Cardinals, who have struggled lately, winning only three of their last ten games. The most concrete risk is that the matchup is pretty close, and the Cardinals might pitch well. Still, Cruz has a real chance to shine here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Oneil Cruz is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.4
HR
0.4
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.6
Walks
1.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Oneil Cruz has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.540%
o2.530%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Oneil Cruz is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.2 in away games, including his recent form against CIN.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.2
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs CIN
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.4
HR · vs CIN
Quick answers:How many home runs does Oneil Cruz hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -313 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over -110 ✓ HIT
19 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Stolen Bases — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Singles — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Kansas City Royals @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Strikeouts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Oneil Cruz (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Oneil Cruz is Over 4.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.9% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday 22 September at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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