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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Henry Davis is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 84%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +5.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Henry Davis

PIT

+5.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -385 (1.26)
+5.0% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Tue 21 Jul, 11:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
84.4%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+5.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs84.4%79.4%1.18+5.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Henry Davis (PIT) Under 0.5 RBIs (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees and Pirates clash, the spotlight shifts to Henry Davis, whose potential for driving in runs seems overstated in this matchup. Although he’s shown flashes of power, facing the Yankees' formidable pitching staff—most notably their ace, who has been lights out at home—will be a formidable challenge. Davis has struggled against high-velocity fastballs, and with the Yankees’ bullpen solidifying late-game situations, opportunities to drive in runs will be scarce. The Yankees have allowed an average of just two RBIs per game to opposing hitters at Yankee Stadium lately, which doesn’t bode well for Davis. With his recent performance trending downward and a tough pitcher on the mound, the under on 0.5 RBIs feels like the smart play here. Expect the Yankees’ pitchers to keep him in check, making it tough for him to capitalize on any scoring chances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

1 market live
Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs NYYU 0.5 -385+5.0% edge
90%hit L10
Streak5L2080%

Henry Davis MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs NYY. Current line U 0.5 at -385 (+5.0% model edge).

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Henry Davis MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Henry Davis MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Henry Davis MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
Streak3L2065%
O 0.560%
O 1.530%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Henry Davis MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.530%

Henry Davis MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Henry Davis MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Henry Davis (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Henry Davis is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees on Tuesday 21 July at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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