Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Henry Davis is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:37PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored
Under 0.5
-244 (1.41) · $100→$141
+3.3% Edge
New York Mets
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Sun 9 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
Implied Probability
70.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Runs Scored | 74.2% | — | 70.9% | 1.35 | +3.3% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime
| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
See the full 20-game form curve
Unlock the complete recent-form hit-rate curve (last 3, 5, 10, 15, 20 & current streak) for this player.
Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime
Henry Davis (PIT) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Henry Davis (PIT) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-244). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — matchup edges, key numbers and confidence — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Betting angles
Markets & formBatter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Henry Davis MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Henry Davis MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.560%
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
Henry Davis MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Henry Davis MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted Henry Davis MLB runs scoredseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Henry Davis MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Henry Davis (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Henry Davis is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Sunday 9 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.