Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Esmerlyn Valdez is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 81%, versus the book's implied 69%, for a model edge of +11.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 7, 4:34PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs
Under 0.5
-222 (1.45)
+11.9% Edge
New York Mets
@
Pittsburgh Pirates
PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Fri 7 Aug, 10:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 439 of 781 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
69.0%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - RBIs | 80.9% | — | 69.0% | 1.24 | +11.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 RBIs (-222)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play New York Mets in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 RBIs (-222). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
6 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -169 Game log vs U 1.52 / 3 hit
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -169.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -213 Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -213.
Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -147 Game log vs U 0.54 / 5 hit
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -147.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -175 Game log vs U 0.55 / 5 hit
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -175.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -588 Game log vs U 0.52 / 3 hit
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -588.
Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 0.5 -179 Game log vs U 0.52 / 5 hit
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB walks. Current line U 0.5 at -179.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Esmerlyn Valdez MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Esmerlyn Valdez MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.570%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%
O 4.510%
O 5.510%
O 6.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 4 · lo 0
Esmerlyn Valdez MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Esmerlyn Valdez MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
Esmerlyn Valdez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Esmerlyn Valdez is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.9% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday 7 August at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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