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Esmerlyn Valdez

MLB

Esmerlyn Valdez has one live pick today: over 1.5 runs scored that pays $1,200 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
11 in 100
Predicted
0.5 runs scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 10.7% · before adjusting for past results 6.4% · the book's price implies 8.3% · gap +2.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs
Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 2:20 PM ET
Esmerlyn Valdez
over 1.5 runs scored
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1100 (12.00) · $100→$1,200
LONG-SHOTWins about 11 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$120.00 Odds+1100
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Esmerlyn Valdez is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 11 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 11%, the price says 8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 13, 8:46AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 143 of 246 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Valdez (hamstring) isn't in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Cubs.
updated Sep 12, 5:21PM UTC · 30d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored6.4%10.7%8.3%9.37-2.0%

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AI Analysis

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Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Runs Scored (+1100)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Chicago Cubs play Pittsburgh Pirates in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Runs Scored (+1100). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at +1100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $120 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Quick answers:How many home runs does Esmerlyn Valdez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -250 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Hits — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Walks — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending

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About This Player

Esmerlyn Valdez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Esmerlyn Valdez is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of -2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs on Saturday 12 September at Wrigley Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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