Jorge Polanco (MIN) Under 0.5 Hits (-120)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into the matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets, the spotlight shines on Jorge Polanco and his ability to make contact at the plate. Lately, Polanco has struggled against right-handed pitching, which is crucial considering he’ll be facing the Brewers' ace who has been dominant at home. In his last few outings, Polanco has tallied just a handful of hits, and with Milwaukee’s solid defense and pitching prowess, it’s tough to envision him breaking through. The Brewers have limited opposing hitters effectively, allowing them to capitalize on their strengths. Given that Polanco is projected to have a mere 0.32 hits, taking the under on 0.5 seems like a smart move. With the odds playing into our favor and the evidence pointing to a continued slump, it's hard to see him getting on base this time around.

William Contreras (MIL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Brewers face off against the Mets, all eyes will be on William Contreras, but backing him for over 1.5 total bases might not be the wisest move. Despite his solid contributions this season, recent trends suggest he could struggle against the Mets' formidable pitching. New York's starting pitcher has been a revelation lately, showcasing elite strikeout stuff and limiting hard contact, which spells trouble for hitters like Contreras. Moreover, the Brewers' offense has been inconsistent, particularly in high-pressure situations, and they've faced challenges against right-handed pitchers. With a lineup that’s been known to stall at times, it's hard to see Contreras breaking through for multiple bases tonight. Given the matchup dynamics and the model predicting only about 1.03 total bases for him, the under seems like the prudent play in this intriguing clash.

Jackson Chourio (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Jackson Chourio steps into the batter’s box against the New York Mets, a few trends are hard to ignore. While the young slugger has shown flashes of brilliance, he’s hitting just .230 against lefties this season—a significant factor given that Mets’ pitcher David Peterson is a southpaw who can be tough on left-handed hitters. The Brewers have also struggled to score consistently against left-handed pitching, averaging just 3.9 runs per game in such matchups. Recent outings have seen Chourio record under 1.5 total bases in half of his last ten games, with his timing seemingly off against pitchers with Peterson’s arsenal. With the Mets’ bullpen performing well lately, the odds of Chourio breaking out for multiple hits seem slim. In this matchup, taking the under on his total bases feels like a prudent play, especially with the numbers pointing toward a quiet night at the plate for him.

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