Joey Ortiz (MIL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1429)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Brewers host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Joey Ortiz, but betting the under on his stolen bases is the savvy play here. Ortiz has been more of a contact hitter lately, and with the Brewers’ unyielding pitching staff—led by their ace who’s been both dominant and hard to run against—it’s tough to envision him swiping a bag.
The Blue Jays' lineup, typically aggressive on the base paths, is also facing a Milwaukee squad that's thrown out nearly 40% of would-be base stealers this season. Ortiz hasn’t shown the propensity to take risks, with just one stolen base in his last 20 games. Coupled with the Brewers’ home-field advantage and their knack for keeping games tight, it's reasonable to expect Ortiz to remain anchored on first base if he gets there at all. Betting the under on his stolen bases feels like the smart money today.