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Model picks & player props
NCAAB
Fri 13 Nov 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Cal Poly Mustangs
1-2 · 0-2 awayWLL
VS
Idaho Vandals
2-1 · 2-0 at homeWLW
Our model's predicted score: Idaho Vandals 86.7 – Cal Poly Mustangs 70.8

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals Prediction & Picks · Fri 13 Nov

Our model graded 20 markets for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals and backs Idaho Vandals -1 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $174.

20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Idaho Vandals
to win by more than 1 point
Idaho Vandals -1 Alt Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$17.41Best price-135
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win61.6%
The price says54.1%

The model graded 20 markets for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals (NCAAB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $174 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 13 Nov 2026, 9:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alt Spread Idaho Vandals -1 High62% chance -135
Alt Spread Members only Lean45% chance Members
Alt Total Points Members only Lean42% chance Members
Moneyline Members only High63% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean60% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Idaho Vandals are the model's favourite to beat Cal Poly Mustangs, with a 87% chance to win. Predicted score: Idaho Vandals 86.7 – Cal Poly Mustangs 70.8. Kick-off Fri 13 Nov, 9:00 PM ET. Best bet: Idaho Vandals -1 at -135.
How they've been scoring this season
Cal Poly MustangsIdaho Vandals
Won-lost1-22-1
Points scored per game77.790.7
Points allowed per game88.367.7
On the road / at home0-2 away2-0 at home
Last 5 gamesWLLWLW
Their games average 162.2 total points this season.
From the 3 Cal Poly Mustangs and 3 Idaho Vandals games on our books this season.
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How the price moved

When prices opened: Idaho Vandals about 5 in 10 to win. Now: about 5 in 10. About where it opened.

Best price and how much the bookies keep

Who wins
TeamMarket's chanceFair priceBest price
Mustangsabout 5 in 10$2.14 (+114)$2.10 (+110)
Idaho Vandalsabout 5 in 10$1.88 (-114)$1.85 (-118)

On this game the bookies keep about $4.60 of every $100 bet on who wins, going by the 13 books we check.

All NCAAB odds this week →

What matters in this game

Rest, form and schedule
  • Cal Poly Mustangs lost 2 straight games up to Wednesday 11 November.
  • On Wednesday, Cal Poly Mustangs lost 99-71 on the road to Grand Canyon Lopes. On Sunday, Idaho Vandals beat Lincoln (CA) Oaklanders 108-69 at home.
  • Home teams won 627 of 949 college basketball games last season, about 2 in 3. See the study

From this season's final scores.

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alt Spread
Idaho Vandals
-11.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsAlt SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlt Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Idaho VandalsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Idaho VandalsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player availability is not tracked for NCAAB on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Idaho Vandals

Player availability is not tracked for NCAAB on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and player availability isn't tracked for NCAAB on this page.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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The preview

Written 13 Nov

Idaho Vandals vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction & Picks

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Idaho Vandals play Cal Poly Mustangs in college basketball. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Idaho Vandals -4 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Idaho Vandals -4 on the Line (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Idaho Vandals host Cal Poly Mustangs in college basketball. The bet we are looking at is Idaho Vandals -4 Point Spread. On this line Idaho Vandals give up 4 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 4. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Under 164.5 Total Points (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Idaho Vandals host Cal Poly Mustangs in college basketball. The bet we are looking at is Under 164.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score fewer than 164.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. Our model leans this way, without being sure. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Idaho Vandals to Win (-120)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Idaho Vandals host Cal Poly Mustangs in college basketball. The bet we are looking at is Idaho Vandals Moneyline. This one only needs Idaho Vandals to win the game. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -120 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.30 if it lands. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Idaho Vandals v Cal Poly Mustangs. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Bet Better model desk · Read the full preview · Every pick for that day

Cal Poly Mustangs @ Idaho Vandals — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cal Poly Mustangs at Idaho Vandals — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cal Poly Mustangs @ Idaho Vandals — model preview

Idaho Vandals v Cal Poly Mustangs, 14 November 2026. Top of the list: Idaho Vandals -4 on the Line. Our model likes 3 bets in this game.

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Idaho Vandals play Cal Poly Mustangs in college basketball. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Idaho Vandals -4 on the Line, priced at +110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Idaho Vandals -4 on the Line (+110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

On Saturday 14 November 2026, Idaho Vandals host Cal Poly Mustangs in college basketball. The bet we are looking at is Idaho Vandals -4 Point Spread. On this line Idaho Vandals give up 4 points before the game starts, so they have to win by more than 4. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. That price was showing at Bovada. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals in the NCAAB. You may also see this matchup written as Mustangs vs Vandals, or as Vandals vs Mustangs. The next scheduled game is Friday 13 November 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NCAAB betting strategy for this matchup.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals: game facts

When it starts and how they have been going

Cal Poly Mustangs play Idaho Vandals on Friday 13 November 2026. It starts at 9:00 PM ET. It is a college basketball game.

Cal Poly Mustangs: last 5 results

  1. 5 Nov 2026Lostat Arizona Wildcats 84-104
  2. 2 Nov 2026Wonvs Cal State San Marcos Cougars 78-62
  3. 11 Mar 2026Lostat UC San Diego Tritons 69-72
  4. 7 Mar 2026Wonvs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 108-76
  5. 5 Mar 2026Lostat UC Irvine Anteaters 85-107

Idaho Vandals: last 5 results

  1. 6 Nov 2026Lostat Colorado State Rams 67-78
  2. 2 Nov 2026Wonvs George Fox Bruins 97-56
  3. 19 Mar 2026Lostat Houston Cougars 47-78
  4. 11 Mar 2026Wonat Montana Grizzlies 77-66
  5. 10 Mar 2026Wonat Eastern Washington Eagles 81-68

Quick answers

When is Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals? Cal Poly Mustangs vs Idaho Vandals is on Friday 13 November 2026. It starts at 9:00 PM ET.

How have Cal Poly Mustangs and Idaho Vandals done lately? Cal Poly Mustangs won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Idaho Vandals won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

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