Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Misiorowski is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On Pitcher - Hits Allowed, our numbers say this bet wins about 89 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 89%, implied 62%, edge +27.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 15, 2:06PM UTC
MLB
Jacob Misiorowski
MLB
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 4.5
-164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+27.1% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers
@
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Sat 15 Aug, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 660 of 1,307 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
89 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 89.2% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +27.1%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 89.2% | — | 62.1% | 1.12 | +27.1% |
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Jacob Misiorowski Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Dodgers play Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jacob Misiorowski Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (-164). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
1 market livePitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming gameU 4.5 -147 Jacob Misiorowski MLB hits allowed. Current line U 4.5 at -147.
Jacob Misiorowski is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Misiorowski is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.1% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Saturday 15 August at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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