Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jacob Misiorowski is Under 8.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts.
On Pitcher - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 60%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 1, 10:26AM UTC
MLB

Jacob Misiorowski

MLB

Value call

Jacob Misiorowski has one live pick today: Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 8.5 that pays $167 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Strikeouts Under 8.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
Value call
San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers
American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin · Indoor
Sun 4 Oct, 12:30AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 131 of 230 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
6.9 Pitcher - Strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.5% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap +14.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Strikeouts74.5%—59.9%1.34+14.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres: Jacob Misiorowski Under 8.5 Pitcher - Strikeouts (-149)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The San Diego Padres have been on a roll, winning 8 out of their last 10 games. Their strong form suggests they know how to keep runs down, allowing just over 4 runs a game this season. With Jacob Misiorowski on the mound for the Brewers, there's a good chance he won't rack up too many strikeouts against this solid lineup. While Misiorowski has potential, the Padres' recent hitting success makes it tricky for him. The Padres are finding ways to connect with pitches, which could limit his chances to get those strikeouts. So, betting on him to have fewer than 8.5 strikeouts makes sense, but it's important to note that the Padres' recent form adds a risk to this pick.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Jacob Misiorowski's lines for Sun 4 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pitcher Strikeouts 8.5

Jacob Misiorowski's pitcher strikeouts line is 8.5.

Pitcher Outs 16.5

Jacob Misiorowski's pitcher outs line is 16.5.

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Jacob Misiorowski has gone over 4.5 SO in 12% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o4.512%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
o9.50%
o10.50%
o11.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Strikeouts 4.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Strikeouts 3.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Baltimore Orioles Pitcher - Strikeouts 7.5 Under +134 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
27 Sep 26 St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Strikeouts — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Jacob Misiorowski is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jacob Misiorowski is Under 8.5 on Pitcher - Strikeouts. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.6% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday 4 October at American Family Field, Milwaukee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.