On September 19, 2026 our model has run Brisbane Lions at Hawthorn Hawks and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Hawthorn Hawks +1.5 Spread (-111), which we rate lean confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.

Every bet we like in this game

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Hawthorn Hawks +1.5 Spread (-111)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn needs to keep it close against the Brisbane Lions, and I think they can do just that. They've been strong lately, winning seven of their last ten games and coming out ahead by an average of over 23 points in their last twelve matches. That shows they know how to play well, especially at home. Brisbane has also been impressive, winning nine of their last ten. However, Hawthorn's solid performance, especially scoring nearly 48 points before halftime lately, gives them a real chance to stay competitive. The biggest risk is that both teams are performing well, making this game feel like a toss-up. But with the home advantage, I like Hawthorn to cover the spread.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Conor McKenna Over 0.5 Goals (-118)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Hawthorn and Brisbane Lions are both in great form, making this matchup exciting. Hawthorn has won 7 of their last 10 games and is scoring an average of over 47 points before halftime. On the other hand, Brisbane has been even better lately, winning 9 of their last 10 and scoring about 49 points before halftime. With both teams showing strong offensive skills, there's a good chance Conor McKenna will find the net. The main risk here is that both teams are so evenly matched, and a tight game could mean fewer scoring chances. However, with McKenna's ability to contribute to the scoreboard, betting on him to score at least one goal looks promising. The odds are decent, and given how well both teams are playing, it's worth a shot.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Josh Ward Over 20.5 Disposals (-119)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Betting on Josh Ward to have over 20.5 disposals at -119 looks promising. Hawthorn has been in solid form, winning 7 of their last 10 games and often coming out strong in the first half. They've averaged a good number of disposals, which bodes well for Ward getting his touches. Brisbane Lions are no slouches either, winning 9 of their last 10 and showing they know how to dominate. The risk here is that the match could be tightly contested, which might affect the number of chances Ward gets. Still, with both teams playing well, this bet has a good chance to hit.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions: Lloyd Meek Over 10.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

The odds for Lloyd Meek to have over 10.5 disposals look promising at -120. Our numbers show a solid chance of this happening, especially since Meek has been playing well lately and is part of a Hawthorn team that has won 7 of their last 10 games. They have averaged over 47 points before halftime in their last 12 matches, suggesting they'll move the ball a lot, which is great for Meek's chances. However, the Brisbane Lions have also been on fire, winning 9 of their last 10 and coming out 31.3 points ahead per game in that stretch. This matchup is pretty close, and if the Lions can control the game, it might limit Meek's opportunities. Still, with how both teams are playing, this bet has a good shot.

That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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